Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

FC Copenhagen vs Drita — UEFA Champions League 2026

FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Drita
Drita
M. Mattsson 76' (pen), 69' (pen)
7/22/2025UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League · 2nd Qualifying RoundParken Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

FC Copenhagen48%
×Draw24%
Drita28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Copenhagen
1.68
Drita
1.21

FC Copenhagen creates 39% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 3 away

creates per match

FC Copenhagen
1.69
Drita
1.33

allows per match

FC Copenhagen
1.08
Drita
1.67

finishing

FC Copenhagen+0.00on par
Drita+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Copenhagen ↓

Drita →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

FC Copenhagen or draw
72%
FC Copenhagen or Drita
76%
Draw or Drita
52%

Winning margin

FC Copenhagen wins by 2+
26%
Drita wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

FC Copenhagen 1+ goals
81%
FC Copenhagen 2+ goals
50%
FC Copenhagen 3+ goals
24%
Drita 1+ goals
70%
Drita 2+ goals
34%
Drita 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

FC Copenhagen (draw refunded)
64%
Drita (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Copenhagen at home — creates 1.69, concedes 1.08 · 13 matches

Drita away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Copenhagen attack 1.69 + Drita defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.68

Drita attack 1.33 + FC Copenhagen defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

FC Copenhagen scores more
48%
level
24%
Drita scores more
28%

FC Copenhagen at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "FC Copenhagen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

12'
Vesel Limaj
37'
Albert Dabiqaj
44'
Gabriel Pereira
59'
V. Claesson← A. Cornelius
59'
Y. Moukoko← J. Larsson
59'
B. Meling← M. Lopez
68'
M. Mattsson← W. Clem
69'
M. MattssonPenalty
74'
Magnus MattssonPenalty confirmed
75'
Raddy Ovouka
76'
B. Krasniqi← V. Limaj
76'
M. MattssonPenalty
80'
V. Tusha← L. Balaj
84'
Robert← E. Achouri
90+2'
I. Zulfiu← A. Ajzeraj

Possession

65%FC

Shots

16FC

Pass accuracy

54%FC

Statistics

FCDrita
Overview
65%Possession35%
16Total Shots8
6Corners3
9Fouls10
Shots
16Total Shots8
5On Target1
9Off Target4
2Blocked3
14Inside Box5
2Outside Box3
Passing
65%Possession35%
536Total Passes277
462Accurate Passes204
86%Pass Accuracy74%
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
Discipline
9Fouls10
1Yellow Cards3
1Offsides1

UEFA Champions League: FC Copenhagen 2–0 Drita

FC Copenhagen beat Drita 2-0 in UEFA Champions League on July 22, 2025.

Goals: M. Mattsson (69' pen, 76' pen).

FC Copenhagen controlled possession (65%) and registered 16 shots to 8.

The match was played at Parken Stadium in Copenhagen.