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FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Germania Halberstadt — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC Carl Zeiss Jena
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CANC
13:00
Germania Halberstadt
Germania Halberstadt
1/13/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

FC Carl Zeiss Jena73%
×Draw14%
Germania Halberstadt13%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Carl Zeiss Jena
3.50
Germania Halberstadt
1.50

FC Carl Zeiss Jena creates 133% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 7 away

creates per match

FC Carl Zeiss Jena
3.29
Germania Halberstadt
1.14

allows per match

FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1.86
Germania Halberstadt
3.71

finishing

FC Carl Zeiss Jena+0.00on par
Germania Halberstadt+0.00on par

Total goals

87%Over
  • Over87
  • Under13

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

75%Yes
  • Yes75
  • No25

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Carl Zeiss Jena ↓

Germania Halberstadt →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–11%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–03%
1–14%
1–23%
1–31%
1–41%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–18%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–05%
4–17%
4–25%
4–33%
4–41%

Most likely 3–1 (8%) · grid covers 76% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
96%4%2.5
87%13%3.5
72%28%4.5
53%47%

Double chance

FC Carl Zeiss Jena or draw
87%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena or Germania Halberstadt
86%
Draw or Germania Halberstadt
27%

Winning margin

FC Carl Zeiss Jena wins by 2+
55%
Germania Halberstadt wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1+ goals
97%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2+ goals
85%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3+ goals
66%
Germania Halberstadt 1+ goals
78%
Germania Halberstadt 2+ goals
44%
Germania Halberstadt 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

FC Carl Zeiss Jena (draw refunded)
85%
Germania Halberstadt (draw refunded)
15%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
71%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Carl Zeiss Jena at home — creates 3.29, concedes 1.86 · 7 matches

Germania Halberstadt away — creates 1.14, concedes 3.71 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Carl Zeiss Jena attack 3.29 + Germania Halberstadt defence 3.71 → ÷2 → 3.50

Germania Halberstadt attack 1.14 + FC Carl Zeiss Jena defence 1.86 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 73%?"

FC Carl Zeiss Jena scores more
73%
level
14%
Germania Halberstadt scores more
13%

FC Carl Zeiss Jena at 73% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 73% does not mean "FC Carl Zeiss Jena will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FC Carl Zeiss Jena face Germania Halberstadt (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with FC Carl Zeiss Jena hosting Germania Halberstadt. Match starts January 13, 2024. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

FC Carl Zeiss Jena host Germania Halberstadt at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.