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FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers — Super League 2025

FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
Preview
15:00
Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
10/24/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 11St. Jakob-Park
54%
FC Basel 1893
model favours
54%23%23%

Grasshoppers score first in only 17% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
56%
over 2.5 goals
56%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

FC Basel 189354%
×Draw23%
Grasshoppers23%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Basel 1893
1.81
Grasshoppers
1.11

FC Basel 1893 creates 63% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 24 away

creates per match

FC Basel 1893
1.70
Grasshoppers
1.13

allows per match

FC Basel 1893
1.10
Grasshoppers
1.92

finishing

FC Basel 1893+0.00on par
Grasshoppers+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Basel 1893 ↓

Grasshoppers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

FC Basel 1893 or draw
77%
FC Basel 1893 or Grasshoppers
77%
Draw or Grasshoppers
46%

Winning margin

FC Basel 1893 wins by 2+
30%
Grasshoppers wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

FC Basel 1893 1+ goals
84%
FC Basel 1893 2+ goals
54%
FC Basel 1893 3+ goals
27%
Grasshoppers 1+ goals
67%
Grasshoppers 2+ goals
30%
Grasshoppers 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

FC Basel 1893 (draw refunded)
70%
Grasshoppers (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Basel 1893 at home — creates 1.70, concedes 1.10 · 20 matches

Grasshoppers away — creates 1.13, concedes 1.92 · 24 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Basel 1893 attack 1.70 + Grasshoppers defence 1.92 → ÷2 → 1.81

Grasshoppers attack 1.13 + FC Basel 1893 defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

FC Basel 1893 scores more
54%
level
23%
Grasshoppers scores more
23%

FC Basel 1893 at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "FC Basel 1893 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • FC Basel 1893 score first in only 24% of matches
  • 47% of FC Basel 1893’s goals come after the 75th minute
  • Style contrast — FC Basel 1893 play Defensively solid, Grasshoppers Direct / counter-attacking

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
FC Basel 1893
Defensively solid
Grasshoppers
Direct / counter-attacking
55%Possession45%
84%Pass accuracy72%
13.3Shots10.4
1.67xGBiggest gap1.19
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
FC Basel 1893Grasshoppers

Head-to-head

3 previous meetings

2
FC Basel 1893
1
Draws
0
Grasshoppers
Avg goals: 2BTTS: 67%
1–01–12–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
1893
DLWL
Grasshoppers
LLWWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers — Match Preview

FC Basel 1893 face Grasshoppers on October 24, 2026 in this Super League fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

FC Basel 1893 host Grasshoppers at St. Jakob-Park.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.