Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen — Super League 2018

FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
Preview
14:30
FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen
9/20/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 9St. Jakob-Park
Big match
54%
FC Basel 1893
model favours
54%22%24%

FC ST. Gallen have scored in 15 games running

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
62%
over 2.5 goals
61%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 9+ matches

FC Basel 189354%
×Draw22%
FC ST. Gallen24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Basel 1893
1.96
FC ST. Gallen
1.26

FC Basel 1893 creates 56% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 11 away

creates per match

FC Basel 1893
1.96
FC ST. Gallen
1.48

allows per match

FC Basel 1893
1.04
FC ST. Gallen
1.97

finishing

FC Basel 1893-0.40scores less
FC ST. Gallen+0.43scores more

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Basel 1893 ↓

FC ST. Gallen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

FC Basel 1893 or draw
76%
FC Basel 1893 or FC ST. Gallen
78%
Draw or FC ST. Gallen
46%

Winning margin

FC Basel 1893 wins by 2+
31%
FC ST. Gallen wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

FC Basel 1893 1+ goals
86%
FC Basel 1893 2+ goals
58%
FC Basel 1893 3+ goals
31%
FC ST. Gallen 1+ goals
72%
FC ST. Gallen 2+ goals
36%
FC ST. Gallen 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

FC Basel 1893 (draw refunded)
69%
FC ST. Gallen (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Basel 1893 at home — creates 1.96, concedes 1.04 · 9 matches

FC ST. Gallen away — creates 1.48, concedes 1.97 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Basel 1893 attack 1.96 + FC ST. Gallen defence 1.97 → ÷2 → 1.96

FC ST. Gallen attack 1.48 + FC Basel 1893 defence 1.04 → ÷2 → 1.26

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

FC Basel 1893 scores more
54%
level
22%
FC ST. Gallen scores more
24%

FC Basel 1893 at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "FC Basel 1893 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • FC Basel 1893 score first in only 24% of matches
  • Both teams score in 87% of FC ST. Gallen’s matches
  • 73% of FC ST. Gallen’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (62% and 73% over 2.5)
  • 47% of FC Basel 1893’s goals come after the 75th minute
  • FC ST. Gallen score first in 60% of matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
FC Basel 1893
Defensively solid
FC ST. Gallen
Attack-heavy
54%Possession48%
82%Pass accuracyBiggest gap70%
14.0Shots16.2
1.78xG1.91
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
FC Basel 1893FC ST. Gallen

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

3
FC Basel 1893
3
Draws
4
FC ST. Gallen
Avg goals: 2.5BTTS: 60%
1–30–31–20–01–2

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
1893
DLWL
Gallen
LLWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: FC Basel 1893 host FC ST. Gallen

September 20, 2026: FC Basel 1893 take on FC ST. Gallen in Super League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

FC Basel 1893 host FC ST. Gallen at St. Jakob-Park.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.