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FC Astoria Walldorf vs TSV Steinbach — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC Astoria Walldorf
FC Astoria Walldorf
CANC
16:00
TSV Steinbach
TSV Steinbach
1/19/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Dietmar-Hopp-Sportpark

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

FC Astoria Walldorf51%
×Draw19%
TSV Steinbach30%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Astoria Walldorf
2.50
TSV Steinbach
1.92

FC Astoria Walldorf creates 30% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 12 away

creates per match

FC Astoria Walldorf
3.33
TSV Steinbach
2.00

allows per match

FC Astoria Walldorf
1.83
TSV Steinbach
1.67

finishing

FC Astoria Walldorf+0.00on par
TSV Steinbach+0.00on par

Total goals

81%Over
  • Over81
  • Under19

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

78%Yes
  • Yes78
  • No22

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Astoria Walldorf ↓

TSV Steinbach →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
81%19%3.5
64%36%4.5
44%56%

Double chance

FC Astoria Walldorf or draw
70%
FC Astoria Walldorf or TSV Steinbach
81%
Draw or TSV Steinbach
49%

Winning margin

FC Astoria Walldorf wins by 2+
31%
TSV Steinbach wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

FC Astoria Walldorf 1+ goals
92%
FC Astoria Walldorf 2+ goals
71%
FC Astoria Walldorf 3+ goals
45%
TSV Steinbach 1+ goals
85%
TSV Steinbach 2+ goals
57%
TSV Steinbach 3+ goals
30%

Draw no bet

FC Astoria Walldorf (draw refunded)
63%
TSV Steinbach (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
72%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Astoria Walldorf at home — creates 3.33, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

TSV Steinbach away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.67 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Astoria Walldorf attack 3.33 + TSV Steinbach defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 2.50

TSV Steinbach attack 2.00 + FC Astoria Walldorf defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

FC Astoria Walldorf scores more
51%
level
19%
TSV Steinbach scores more
30%

FC Astoria Walldorf at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "FC Astoria Walldorf will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: FC Astoria Walldorf host TSV Steinbach

January 19, 2022: FC Astoria Walldorf take on TSV Steinbach in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

FC Astoria Walldorf host TSV Steinbach at Dietmar-Hopp-Sportpark.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.