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FC Astoria Walldorf vs Stuttgart II — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC Astoria Walldorf
FC Astoria Walldorf
FT
3 – 1
Stuttgart II
Stuttgart II
7/20/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Waldstadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

FC Astoria Walldorf55%
×Draw19%
Stuttgart II26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 584,459 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Astoria Walldorf
2.50
Stuttgart II
1.68

FC Astoria Walldorf creates 49% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 7 away

creates per match

FC Astoria Walldorf
3.00
Stuttgart II
1.86

allows per match

FC Astoria Walldorf
1.50
Stuttgart II
2.00

finishing

FC Astoria Walldorf+0.00on par
Stuttgart II+0.00on par

Total goals

78%Over
  • Over78
  • Under22

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

75%Yes
  • Yes75
  • No25

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Astoria Walldorf ↓

Stuttgart II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–25%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
78%22%3.5
59%41%4.5
40%60%

Double chance

FC Astoria Walldorf or draw
74%
FC Astoria Walldorf or Stuttgart II
81%
Draw or Stuttgart II
45%

Winning margin

FC Astoria Walldorf wins by 2+
35%
Stuttgart II wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

FC Astoria Walldorf 1+ goals
92%
FC Astoria Walldorf 2+ goals
71%
FC Astoria Walldorf 3+ goals
45%
Stuttgart II 1+ goals
81%
Stuttgart II 2+ goals
50%
Stuttgart II 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

FC Astoria Walldorf (draw refunded)
68%
Stuttgart II (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
68%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Astoria Walldorf at home — creates 3.00, concedes 1.50 · 10 matches

Stuttgart II away — creates 1.86, concedes 2.00 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Astoria Walldorf attack 3.00 + Stuttgart II defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.50

Stuttgart II attack 1.86 + FC Astoria Walldorf defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.68

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

FC Astoria Walldorf scores more
55%
level
19%
Stuttgart II scores more
26%

FC Astoria Walldorf at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "FC Astoria Walldorf will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: FC Astoria Walldorf 3–1 Stuttgart II

FC Astoria Walldorf beat Stuttgart II 3-1 in Friendlies Clubs on July 20, 2024.

The match was played at Waldstadion in Walldorf.