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FC Astoria Walldorf vs Mechtersheim — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC Astoria Walldorf
FC Astoria Walldorf
CANC
17:00
Mechtersheim
Mechtersheim
6/28/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

FC Astoria Walldorf65%
×Draw16%
Mechtersheim19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Astoria Walldorf
3.33
Mechtersheim
1.83

FC Astoria Walldorf creates 82% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 3 away

creates per match

FC Astoria Walldorf
3.67
Mechtersheim
1.67

allows per match

FC Astoria Walldorf
2.00
Mechtersheim
3.00

finishing

FC Astoria Walldorf+0.00on par
Mechtersheim+0.00on par

Total goals

88%Over
  • Over88
  • Under12

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

81%Yes
  • Yes81
  • No19

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Astoria Walldorf ↓

Mechtersheim →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–11%
0–21%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–02%
1–14%
1–23%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–26%
2–33%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–03%
4–16%
4–25%
4–33%
4–41%

Most likely 3–1 (7%) · grid covers 77% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
96%4%2.5
88%12%3.5
74%26%4.5
56%44%

Double chance

FC Astoria Walldorf or draw
81%
FC Astoria Walldorf or Mechtersheim
84%
Draw or Mechtersheim
35%

Winning margin

FC Astoria Walldorf wins by 2+
46%
Mechtersheim wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

FC Astoria Walldorf 1+ goals
96%
FC Astoria Walldorf 2+ goals
84%
FC Astoria Walldorf 3+ goals
63%
Mechtersheim 1+ goals
84%
Mechtersheim 2+ goals
54%
Mechtersheim 3+ goals
28%

Draw no bet

FC Astoria Walldorf (draw refunded)
77%
Mechtersheim (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
77%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Astoria Walldorf at home — creates 3.67, concedes 2.00 · 3 matches

Mechtersheim away — creates 1.67, concedes 3.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Astoria Walldorf attack 3.67 + Mechtersheim defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 3.33

Mechtersheim attack 1.67 + FC Astoria Walldorf defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

FC Astoria Walldorf scores more
65%
level
16%
Mechtersheim scores more
19%

FC Astoria Walldorf at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "FC Astoria Walldorf will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FC Astoria Walldorf face Mechtersheim (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with FC Astoria Walldorf hosting Mechtersheim. Match starts June 28, 2024. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

FC Astoria Walldorf host Mechtersheim at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.