Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

FC Andorra vs Valladolid — Segunda División 2018

FC Andorra
FC Andorra
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Valladolid
Valladolid
M. Cardona 62'
4/19/2026Segunda DivisiónSegunda División · Round 36Estadi de la FAF

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 63+ matches

FC Andorra43%
×Draw28%
Valladolid29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Andorra
1.32
Valladolid
1.02

FC Andorra creates 29% more chances

Season form · 63 home / 63 away

creates per match

FC Andorra
1.24
Valladolid
1.11

allows per match

FC Andorra
0.94
Valladolid
1.40

finishing

FC Andorra+0.00on par
Valladolid+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Under
  • Under59
  • Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Andorra ↓

Valladolid →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–110%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
68%32%2.5
41%59%3.5
21%79%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

FC Andorra or draw
71%
FC Andorra or Valladolid
72%
Draw or Valladolid
57%

Winning margin

FC Andorra wins by 2+
20%
Valladolid wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

FC Andorra 1+ goals
73%
FC Andorra 2+ goals
38%
FC Andorra 3+ goals
15%
Valladolid 1+ goals
64%
Valladolid 2+ goals
27%
Valladolid 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

FC Andorra (draw refunded)
60%
Valladolid (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
34%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Andorra at home — creates 1.24, concedes 0.94 · 63 matches

Valladolid away — creates 1.11, concedes 1.40 · 63 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Andorra attack 1.24 + Valladolid defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.32

Valladolid attack 1.11 + FC Andorra defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

FC Andorra scores more
43%
level
28%
Valladolid scores more
29%

FC Andorra at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "FC Andorra will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

4
G. AlonsoFC AndorraFC Andorra · D
7.9

Match Events

35'
Marc Domenech
57'
M. Cardona← G. Jastin
62'
M. Cardona↳ D. Villahermosa
66'
S. Biuk← L. Sanseviero
66'
Marcos Andre← Chuki
69'
M. Nieto← M. Kim
72'
Stipe Biuk
75'
Juanmi Latasa
78'
N. Ohio← J. Latasa
78'
M. Lachuer← J. Ponceau
81'
S. Molina← D. Villahermosa
82'
A. Petxa← T. Carrique
82'
T. Le Normand← J. Cerda
84'
Stanko Jurić
87'
V. Erlien← Peter Federico
90+6'
David Torres

Possession

70%FC

Shots

11FC

Pass accuracy

55%FC

Statistics

FCValladolid
Overview
70%Possession30%
11Total Shots4
8Corners2
10Fouls13
Shots
11Total Shots4
1On Target0
6Off Target3
4Blocked1
7Inside Box3
4Outside Box1
Passing
70%Possession30%
611Total Passes259
549Accurate Passes192
90%Pass Accuracy74%
Discipline
10Fouls13
1Yellow Cards4
1Offsides3

Match Recap: FC Andorra vs Valladolid

FC Andorra beat Valladolid 1-0 in Segunda División on April 19, 2026.

Goals: M. Cardona (62').

FC Andorra controlled possession (70%) and registered 11 shots to 4.

The match was played at Estadi de la FAF in Encamp.