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FC 105 vs Oyem AC — Championnat D1 2022

FC 105
FC 105
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Oyem AC
Oyem AC
4/1/2026Championnat D1Championnat D1 · Round 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

FC 10529%
×Draw25%
Oyem AC46%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC 105
1.17
Oyem AC
1.56

Oyem AC creates 33% more chances

Season form · 32 home / 13 away

creates per match

FC 105
1.41
Oyem AC
1.69

allows per match

FC 105
1.44
Oyem AC
0.92

finishing

FC 105+0.00on par
Oyem AC+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC 105 ↓

Oyem AC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–110%
0–28%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
76%24%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

FC 105 or draw
54%
FC 105 or Oyem AC
75%
Draw or Oyem AC
71%

Winning margin

FC 105 wins by 2+
11%
Oyem AC wins by 2+
24%

Team goals

FC 105 1+ goals
69%
FC 105 2+ goals
33%
FC 105 3+ goals
11%
Oyem AC 1+ goals
79%
Oyem AC 2+ goals
46%
Oyem AC 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

FC 105 (draw refunded)
38%
Oyem AC (draw refunded)
62%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC 105 at home — creates 1.41, concedes 1.44 · 32 matches

Oyem AC away — creates 1.69, concedes 0.92 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC 105 attack 1.41 + Oyem AC defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 1.17

Oyem AC attack 1.69 + FC 105 defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

FC 105 scores more
29%
level
25%
Oyem AC scores more
46%

Oyem AC at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Oyem AC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: FC 105 vs Oyem AC

FC 105 beat Oyem AC 2-0 in Championnat D1 on April 1, 2026.