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Fauve Azur Elite vs Young Sport Academy — Elite One 2019

Fauve Azur Elite
Fauve Azur Elite
FT
2 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Young Sport Academy
Young Sport Academy
1/20/2025Elite OneElite One · Round 8Stade Annexe 1 Omnisport

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Fauve Azur Elite48%
×Draw28%
Young Sport Academy23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Fauve Azur Elite
1.33
Young Sport Academy
0.83

Fauve Azur Elite creates 60% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 79 away

creates per match

Fauve Azur Elite
1.33
Young Sport Academy
0.94

allows per match

Fauve Azur Elite
0.73
Young Sport Academy
1.32

finishing

Fauve Azur Elite+0.00on par
Young Sport Academy+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

59%No
  • No59
  • Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fauve Azur Elite ↓

Young Sport Academy →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–14%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
17%83%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Fauve Azur Elite or draw
77%
Fauve Azur Elite or Young Sport Academy
72%
Draw or Young Sport Academy
52%

Winning margin

Fauve Azur Elite wins by 2+
23%
Young Sport Academy wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Fauve Azur Elite 1+ goals
74%
Fauve Azur Elite 2+ goals
38%
Fauve Azur Elite 3+ goals
15%
Young Sport Academy 1+ goals
56%
Young Sport Academy 2+ goals
20%
Young Sport Academy 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Fauve Azur Elite (draw refunded)
67%
Young Sport Academy (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fauve Azur Elite at home — creates 1.33, concedes 0.73 · 15 matches

Young Sport Academy away — creates 0.94, concedes 1.32 · 79 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fauve Azur Elite attack 1.33 + Young Sport Academy defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.33

Young Sport Academy attack 0.94 + Fauve Azur Elite defence 0.73 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Fauve Azur Elite scores more
48%
level
28%
Young Sport Academy scores more
23%

Fauve Azur Elite at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Fauve Azur Elite will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Elite One: Fauve Azur Elite 2–0 Young Sport Academy

Fauve Azur Elite beat Young Sport Academy 2-0 in Elite One on January 20, 2025.

The match was played at Stade Annexe 1 Omnisport in Yaoundé.