Faroe Islands U19 0–2 Kosovo U19: Result & Stats

Faroe Islands U19

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

Kosovo U19

E. Bujupi 52'

D. Gerbovci 31'

11/19/2024

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification · Qualifying Round - 7Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Faroe Islands U1924%

×Draw21%

Kosovo U1955%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Faroe Islands U19Expected goals in this matchKosovo U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.32

2.11

Faroe Islands U19

1.32

Kosovo U19

2.11

Kosovo U19 creates 60% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 13 away

0.57

creates per match

1.08

3.14

allows per match

2.08

creates per match

Faroe Islands U19

0.57

Kosovo U19

1.08

allows per match

Faroe Islands U19

3.14

Kosovo U19

2.08

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Faroe Islands U19+0.00on par

Kosovo U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over66
Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes64
No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Faroe Islands U19 ↓

Kosovo U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–17%

0–27%

0–35%

0–43%

1

1–04%

1–19%

1–210%

1–37%

1–44%

2

2–03%

2–16%

2–26%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–01%

3–13%

3–23%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

66%34%3.5

44%56%4.5

26%74%

Double chance

Faroe Islands U19 or draw

45%

Faroe Islands U19 or Kosovo U19

79%

Draw or Kosovo U19

76%

Winning margin

Faroe Islands U19 wins by 2+

10%

Kosovo U19 wins by 2+

33%

Team goals

Faroe Islands U19 1+ goals

73%

Faroe Islands U19 2+ goals

38%

Faroe Islands U19 3+ goals

15%

Kosovo U19 1+ goals

88%

Kosovo U19 2+ goals

62%

Kosovo U19 3+ goals

35%

Draw no bet

Faroe Islands U19 (draw refunded)

30%

Kosovo U19 (draw refunded)

70%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

55%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Faroe Islands U19 at home — creates 0.57, concedes 3.14 · 7 matches

Kosovo U19 away — creates 1.08, concedes 2.08 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Faroe Islands U19 attack 0.57 + Kosovo U19 defence 2.08 → ÷2 → 1.32

Kosovo U19 attack 1.08 + Faroe Islands U19 defence 3.14 → ÷2 → 2.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Faroe Islands U19 scores more

24%

level

21%

Kosovo U19 scores more

55%

Kosovo U19 at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Kosovo U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

20'

E. Gashijan

31'

D. Gerbovci

42'

A. Atlason

46'

S. Henriksen← V. Jónsson

52'

E. Bujupi

61'

A. Benjaminsen← B. Klein

63'

A. Demiri← L. Lleshi

63'

A. Hasani← E. Gashijani

63'

E. Suplja← D. Lakna

68'

I. Arngrimsson

70'

L. Hoti← D. Destani

75'

A. Arnholdsson← Á. Atlason

78'

A. Demolli← D. Gerbovci

84'

M. Hellisdal

88'

A. Brandsson← M. Hellisdal

90+2'

S. Henriksen

Faroe

Kosovo

12

Qela

3

Parduzi

15

▼

Lleshi

5

Mavraj

19

▼

Lakna

8

Gashi

10

⚽

▼

Gerbovci

2

Hadergjon

21

▼

Destani

9

⚽

Bujupi

7

▼

1

4

5

2

▼

Jónsson

3

Holm

18

Bjarkhama

6

▼

Atlason

10

▼

Hellisdal

16

Samuelsen

17

Ólavsson

9

▼

Klein

Manager: Ø. Hansen

46'▲S. Henriksen←▼V. Jónsson

61'▲A. Benjaminsen←▼B. Klein

75'▲A. Arnholdsson←▼Á. Atlason

88'▲A. Brandsson←▼M. Hellisdal

Faroe Islands U19 substitutes

14Henriksen7Benjaminsen13Arnholdsson15Brandsson8Niclasen11Isaksen12Olsen

Manager: A. Maliqi

63'▲A. Demiri←▼L. Lleshi

63'▲A. Hasani←▼E. Gashijani

63'▲E. Suplja←▼D. Lakna

70'▲L. Hoti←▼D. Destani

78'▲A. Demolli←▼D. Gerbovci

Kosovo U19 substitutes

4Demiri14Hasani6Suplja22Hoti17Demolli11Hajdini13Halili1Gutaj20Jashari

Match Recap: Faroe Islands U19 vs Kosovo U19

Kosovo U19 beat Faroe Islands U19 2-0 in UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification on November 19, 2024.

Goals: D. Gerbovci (31'), E. Bujupi (52').

The match was played at Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri in Pristina.

Faroe Islands U19 vs Kosovo U19 — UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification 2022

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Faroe Islands U19 vs Kosovo U19