Faroe Islands U19 0–3 Bulgaria U19: Result & Stats

Faroe Islands U19

FT

0 – 3

HT: 0 – 0

Bulgaria U19

S. Tsanev 90'

F. Gigov 81'

S. Stoyanchov 50'

11/18/2025

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification · Qualifying Round - 3

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Faroe Islands U1916%

×Draw20%

Bulgaria U1963%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Faroe Islands U19Expected goals in this matchBulgaria U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.94

2.07

Faroe Islands U19

0.94

Bulgaria U19

2.07

Bulgaria U19 creates 120% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 10 away

0.57

creates per match

1.00

3.14

allows per match

1.30

creates per match

Faroe Islands U19

0.57

Bulgaria U19

1.00

allows per match

Faroe Islands U19

3.14

Bulgaria U19

1.30

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Faroe Islands U19+0.00on par

Bulgaria U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over58
Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Faroe Islands U19 ↓

Bulgaria U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–110%

0–211%

0–37%

0–44%

1

1–05%

1–110%

1–210%

1–37%

1–44%

2

2–02%

2–15%

2–25%

2–33%

2–42%

3

3–01%

3–11%

3–21%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–2 (11%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

80%20%2.5

58%42%3.5

35%65%4.5

18%82%

Double chance

Faroe Islands U19 or draw

37%

Faroe Islands U19 or Bulgaria U19

80%

Draw or Bulgaria U19

84%

Winning margin

Faroe Islands U19 wins by 2+

5%

Bulgaria U19 wins by 2+

39%

Team goals

Faroe Islands U19 1+ goals

61%

Faroe Islands U19 2+ goals

24%

Faroe Islands U19 3+ goals

7%

Bulgaria U19 1+ goals

87%

Bulgaria U19 2+ goals

61%

Bulgaria U19 3+ goals

34%

Draw no bet

Faroe Islands U19 (draw refunded)

20%

Bulgaria U19 (draw refunded)

80%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

44%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Faroe Islands U19 at home — creates 0.57, concedes 3.14 · 7 matches

Bulgaria U19 away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.30 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Faroe Islands U19 attack 0.57 + Bulgaria U19 defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 0.94

Bulgaria U19 attack 1.00 + Faroe Islands U19 defence 3.14 → ÷2 → 2.07

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Faroe Islands U19 scores more

16%

level

20%

Bulgaria U19 scores more

63%

Bulgaria U19 at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Bulgaria U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

46'

S. Stoyanchov← M. Boychev

46'

R. Fernandes← S. Idriz

50'

S. Stoyanchov↳ K. Bozhkov

63'

K. Bozhkov

65'

S. Henriksen

67'

R. Helgason← S. Henriksen

72'

R. Helgason

72'

A. Kichukov← K. Bozhkov

81'

F. Gigov

88'

D. Morkore← A. Brandsson

88'

88'

90'

90+1'

90+5'

P. Muller← D. a. Lidarenda

90+5'

M. D. Djurhuus← J. Samsson

90'

S. Tsanev↳ V. Kaymakanov

Faroe

Bulgaria

12

Penev

13

Georgiev

15

Tunchev

3

⚽

Tsanev

2

▼

Yanev

16

▼

Penev

19

▼

Boychev

20

A

▼

Bozhkov

11

A

Kaymakano

9

⚽

Gigov

7

▼

Idriz

1

Sjurdarso

2

▼

Lidarenda

17

Anghel

4

Olavsson

3

▼

Samsson

13

Lon

7

Benjamins

6

▼

Brandsson

16

Sivertsen

8

▼

Henriksen

10

Reynheim

67'▲R. Helgason←▼S. Henriksen

88'▲D. Morkore←▼A. Brandsson

90+5'▲P. Muller←▼D. a. Lidarenda

90+5'▲M. D. Djurhuus←▼J. Samsson

Faroe Islands U19 substitutes

12Skala5Helgason9Muller11Djurhuus14Morkore15Olsen18Signarsson

46'▲S. Stoyanchov←▼M. Boychev

46'▲R. Fernandes←▼S. Idriz

72'▲A. Kichukov←▼K. Bozhkov

88'▲Y. Gilov←▼N. Yanev

88'▲K. Irmiev←▼G. Penev

Bulgaria U19 substitutes

1Kehayov6Kichukov8Stoyanchov10Fernandes14Raykov17Gilov18Irmiev

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification: Faroe Islands U19 0–3 Bulgaria U19

Bulgaria U19 beat Faroe Islands U19 3-0 in UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification on November 18, 2025.

Goals: S. Stoyanchov (50'), F. Gigov (81'), S. Tsanev (90').

Faroe Islands U19 vs Bulgaria U19 — UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification 2022

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification: Faroe Islands U19 0–3 Bulgaria U19