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FAR Rabat vs JS Kabylie — CAF Champions League 2019

FAR Rabat
FAR Rabat
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
JS Kabylie
JS Kabylie
H. Khabba 74'
1/31/2026CAF Champions LeagueCAF Champions League · Round 4Stade Olympique de Rabat

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

FAR Rabat65%
×Draw22%
JS Kabylie13%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FAR Rabat
1.78
JS Kabylie
0.63

FAR Rabat creates 183% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 16 away

creates per match

FAR Rabat
1.88
JS Kabylie
0.75

allows per match

FAR Rabat
0.50
JS Kabylie
1.69

finishing

FAR Rabat+0.00on par
JS Kabylie+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Under
  • Under57
  • Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FAR Rabat ↓

JS Kabylie →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–16%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–110%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–014%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–15%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
69%31%2.5
43%57%3.5
22%78%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

FAR Rabat or draw
87%
FAR Rabat or JS Kabylie
78%
Draw or JS Kabylie
35%

Winning margin

FAR Rabat wins by 2+
38%
JS Kabylie wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

FAR Rabat 1+ goals
83%
FAR Rabat 2+ goals
53%
FAR Rabat 3+ goals
26%
JS Kabylie 1+ goals
47%
JS Kabylie 2+ goals
13%
JS Kabylie 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

FAR Rabat (draw refunded)
84%
JS Kabylie (draw refunded)
16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FAR Rabat at home — creates 1.88, concedes 0.50 · 16 matches

JS Kabylie away — creates 0.75, concedes 1.69 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FAR Rabat attack 1.88 + JS Kabylie defence 1.69 → ÷2 → 1.78

JS Kabylie attack 0.75 + FAR Rabat defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 0.63

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

FAR Rabat scores more
65%
level
22%
JS Kabylie scores more
13%

FAR Rabat at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "FAR Rabat will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

15
M. LouadniFAR RabatFAR Rabat · D
7.7

Match Events

1'
Mostapha Rezkallah Bott
15'
H. Khabba← M. Bouriga
61'
Jaredi← L. Akhrib
62'
B. Sarr← A. Bada
62'
C. Ecua← A. Mahious
65'
Y. El Fahli← A. Hammoudan
65'
R. Slim← A. Hadraf
66'
Zinedine Derrag
67'
Mohamed Rabie Hrimat
74'
H. Khabba↳ To Carneiro
85'
J. E. El Khfiyef← To Carneiro
85'
J. Ech Chamakh←
85'
C. Boulkaboul← A. Mammeri
85'
O. Malki← R. Boudebouz

Possession

59%FAR

Shots

15FAR

Pass accuracy

53%FAR

Statistics

FARJS
Overview
59%Possession41%
15Total Shots6
6Corners1
14Fouls14
Shots
15Total Shots6
4On Target1
6Off Target4
5Blocked1
8Inside Box3
7Outside Box3
Passing
59%Possession41%
530Total Passes365
456Accurate Passes280
86%Pass Accuracy77%
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
Discipline
14Fouls14
2Yellow Cards1
1Offsides4

CAF Champions League: FAR Rabat 1–0 JS Kabylie

FAR Rabat beat JS Kabylie 1-0 in CAF Champions League on January 31, 2026.

Goals: H. Khabba (74').

FAR Rabat controlled possession (59%) and registered 15 shots to 6.

The match was played at Stade Olympique de Rabat in Rabat.