Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Fakel vs Dynamo — Premier League 2025

Fakel
Fakel
Preview
16:00
Dynamo
Dynamo
11/7/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 14Fakel Stadium
Big match
49%
Dynamo
model favours
24%27%49%

Dynamo score first in only 8% of matches

brightest fact of this match

0–1
likely score
59%
under 2.5 goals
45%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Fakel24%
×Draw27%
Dynamo49%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Fakel
0.89
Dynamo
1.42

Dynamo creates 60% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 26 away

creates per match

Fakel
0.63
Dynamo
1.58

allows per match

Fakel
1.25
Dynamo
1.15

finishing

Fakel+0.00on par
Dynamo+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Under
  • Under59
  • Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fakel ↓

Dynamo →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–114%
0–210%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–09%
1–113%
1–29%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–04%
2–16%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
41%59%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Fakel or draw
51%
Fakel or Dynamo
73%
Draw or Dynamo
76%

Winning margin

Fakel wins by 2+
8%
Dynamo wins by 2+
24%

Team goals

Fakel 1+ goals
59%
Fakel 2+ goals
22%
Fakel 3+ goals
6%
Dynamo 1+ goals
76%
Dynamo 2+ goals
41%
Dynamo 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Fakel (draw refunded)
32%
Dynamo (draw refunded)
68%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fakel at home — creates 0.63, concedes 1.25 · 8 matches

Dynamo away — creates 1.58, concedes 1.15 · 26 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fakel attack 0.63 + Dynamo defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 0.89

Dynamo attack 1.58 + Fakel defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Fakel scores more
24%
level
27%
Dynamo scores more
49%

Dynamo at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Dynamo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Dynamo have won 3 in a row

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Fakel
LDWWD
Dynamo
WWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Fakel vs Dynamo — Match Preview

Fakel face Dynamo on November 7, 2026 in this Premier League fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Fakel host Dynamo at Fakel Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.