Fach-Donaufeld 1–6 Rapid Wien II: Result & Stats

Fach-Donaufeld

FT

1 – 6

HT: 1 – 4

Rapid Wien II

Unknown 4'

D. Berger 81', 74'

O. Badarneh 42'

O. Strunz 33'

E. Stehrer 21'

D. Djezic 20'

7/14/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Fach-Donaufeld12%

×Draw13%

Rapid Wien II76%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Fach-DonaufeldExpected goals in this matchRapid Wien II

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.48

3.69

Fach-Donaufeld

1.48

Rapid Wien II

3.69

Rapid Wien II creates 149% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 6 away

2.13

creates per match

4.50

2.88

allows per match

0.83

creates per match

Fach-Donaufeld

2.13

Rapid Wien II

4.50

allows per match

Fach-Donaufeld

2.88

Rapid Wien II

0.83

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Fach-Donaufeld+0.00on par

Rapid Wien II+0.00on par

Total goals

Over88
Under12

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes75
No25

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fach-Donaufeld ↓

Rapid Wien II →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–12%

0–24%

0–35%

0–45%

1

1–01%

1–13%

1–26%

1–38%

1–47%

2

2–01%

2–13%

2–25%

2–36%

2–45%

3

3–00%

3–11%

3–22%

3–33%

3–43%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–21%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 1–3 (8%) · grid covers 74% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

96%4%2.5

88%12%3.5

74%26%4.5

55%45%

Double chance

Fach-Donaufeld or draw

24%

Fach-Donaufeld or Rapid Wien II

87%

Draw or Rapid Wien II

88%

Winning margin

Fach-Donaufeld wins by 2+

5%

Rapid Wien II wins by 2+

58%

Team goals

Fach-Donaufeld 1+ goals

77%

Fach-Donaufeld 2+ goals

43%

Fach-Donaufeld 3+ goals

19%

Rapid Wien II 1+ goals

97%

Rapid Wien II 2+ goals

87%

Rapid Wien II 3+ goals

69%

Draw no bet

Fach-Donaufeld (draw refunded)

13%

Rapid Wien II (draw refunded)

87%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

72%

Both score & under 3

3%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fach-Donaufeld at home — creates 2.13, concedes 2.88 · 8 matches

Rapid Wien II away — creates 4.50, concedes 0.83 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fach-Donaufeld attack 2.13 + Rapid Wien II defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 1.48

Rapid Wien II attack 4.50 + Fach-Donaufeld defence 2.88 → ÷2 → 3.69

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 76%?"

Fach-Donaufeld scores more

12%

level

13%

Rapid Wien II scores more

76%

Rapid Wien II at 76% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 76% does not mean "Rapid Wien II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

4'

20'

21'

33'

42'

74'

81'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff