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F91 Dudelange vs Ulsan Hyundai FC — Friendlies Clubs 2026

F91 Dudelange
F91 Dudelange
CANC
15:00
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1/27/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

F91 Dudelange45%
×Draw23%
Ulsan Hyundai FC32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

F91 Dudelange
1.83
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1.50

F91 Dudelange creates 22% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 3 away

creates per match

F91 Dudelange
2.33
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1.67

allows per match

F91 Dudelange
1.33
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1.33

finishing

F91 Dudelange+0.00on par
Ulsan Hyundai FC+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

F91 Dudelange ↓

Ulsan Hyundai FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–27%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
65%35%3.5
42%58%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

F91 Dudelange or draw
68%
F91 Dudelange or Ulsan Hyundai FC
77%
Draw or Ulsan Hyundai FC
55%

Winning margin

F91 Dudelange wins by 2+
25%
Ulsan Hyundai FC wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

F91 Dudelange 1+ goals
84%
F91 Dudelange 2+ goals
54%
F91 Dudelange 3+ goals
28%
Ulsan Hyundai FC 1+ goals
78%
Ulsan Hyundai FC 2+ goals
44%
Ulsan Hyundai FC 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

F91 Dudelange (draw refunded)
59%
Ulsan Hyundai FC (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
55%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

F91 Dudelange at home — creates 2.33, concedes 1.33 · 3 matches

Ulsan Hyundai FC away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

F91 Dudelange attack 2.33 + Ulsan Hyundai FC defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.83

Ulsan Hyundai FC attack 1.67 + F91 Dudelange defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

F91 Dudelange scores more
45%
level
23%
Ulsan Hyundai FC scores more
32%

F91 Dudelange at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "F91 Dudelange will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: F91 Dudelange host Ulsan Hyundai FC

January 27, 2023: F91 Dudelange take on Ulsan Hyundai FC in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.