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F91 Dudelange vs Crossing Schaerbeek — Friendlies Clubs 2026

F91 Dudelange
F91 Dudelange
FT
1 – 3
HT: 0 – 1
Crossing Schaerbeek
Crossing Schaerbeek
6/28/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

F91 Dudelange71%
×Draw14%
Crossing Schaerbeek14%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

F91 Dudelange
3.33
Crossing Schaerbeek
1.50

F91 Dudelange creates 122% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 3 away

creates per match

F91 Dudelange
2.33
Crossing Schaerbeek
1.67

allows per match

F91 Dudelange
1.33
Crossing Schaerbeek
4.33

finishing

F91 Dudelange+0.00on par
Crossing Schaerbeek+0.00on par

Total goals

85%Over
  • Over85
  • Under15

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

75%Yes
  • Yes75
  • No25

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

F91 Dudelange ↓

Crossing Schaerbeek →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–11%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–03%
1–14%
1–23%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–17%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–18%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–16%
4–25%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 3–1 (8%) · grid covers 79% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
95%5%2.5
85%15%3.5
69%31%4.5
50%50%

Double chance

F91 Dudelange or draw
86%
F91 Dudelange or Crossing Schaerbeek
86%
Draw or Crossing Schaerbeek
29%

Winning margin

F91 Dudelange wins by 2+
52%
Crossing Schaerbeek wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

F91 Dudelange 1+ goals
96%
F91 Dudelange 2+ goals
84%
F91 Dudelange 3+ goals
63%
Crossing Schaerbeek 1+ goals
78%
Crossing Schaerbeek 2+ goals
44%
Crossing Schaerbeek 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

F91 Dudelange (draw refunded)
83%
Crossing Schaerbeek (draw refunded)
17%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
71%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

F91 Dudelange at home — creates 2.33, concedes 1.33 · 3 matches

Crossing Schaerbeek away — creates 1.67, concedes 4.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

F91 Dudelange attack 2.33 + Crossing Schaerbeek defence 4.33 → ÷2 → 3.33

Crossing Schaerbeek attack 1.67 + F91 Dudelange defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 71%?"

F91 Dudelange scores more
71%
level
14%
Crossing Schaerbeek scores more
14%

F91 Dudelange at 71% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 71% does not mean "F91 Dudelange will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: F91 Dudelange 1–3 Crossing Schaerbeek

Crossing Schaerbeek beat F91 Dudelange 3-1 in Friendlies Clubs on June 28, 2026.