Everton 0–3 Tottenham: Result & Stats

Everton

FT

0 – 3

HT: 0 – 2

Tottenham

P. M. Sarr 89'

M. van de Ven 45', 19'

10/26/2025

Premier League · Round 9Hill Dickinson Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 22+ matches

Everton42%

×Draw26%

Tottenham32%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

EvertonExpected goals in this matchTottenham

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.43

1.20

Everton

1.43

Tottenham

1.20

Everton creates 19% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 33 away

1.30

creates per match

1.12

1.28

allows per match

1.55

creates per match

Everton

1.30

Tottenham

1.12

allows per match

Everton

1.28

Tottenham

1.55

+0.02on par

finishing

+0.33scores more than expected

finishing

Everton+0.02on par

Tottenham+0.33scores more

Total goals

Under51
Over49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Everton ↓

Tottenham →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

74%26%2.5

49%51%3.5

27%73%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Everton or draw

68%

Everton or Tottenham

74%

Draw or Tottenham

58%

Winning margin

Everton wins by 2+

20%

Tottenham wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Everton 1+ goals

76%

Everton 2+ goals

42%

Everton 3+ goals

17%

Tottenham 1+ goals

70%

Tottenham 2+ goals

34%

Tottenham 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Everton (draw refunded)

57%

Tottenham (draw refunded)

43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Everton at home — creates 1.30, concedes 1.28 · 22 matches

Tottenham away — creates 1.12, concedes 1.55 · 33 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Everton attack 1.30 + Tottenham defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.43

Tottenham attack 1.12 + Everton defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Everton scores more

42%

level

26%

Tottenham scores more

32%

Everton at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Everton will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

19'

M. van de Ven↳ R. Bentancur

27'

Jake O'BrienGoal cancelled

45'

M. van de Ven↳ P. Porro

58'

James Garner

61'

L. Bergvall← X. Simons

62'

Richarlison← R. Kolo Muani

66'

T. Barry← Beto

66'

71'

78'

86'

89'

P. M. Sarr↳ Richarlison

90+3'

M. Tel← B. Johnson

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

EvertonTottenham

Overview

54%Possession46%

12Total Shots7

1.74Expected Goals (xG)1.72

9Corners8

9Fouls8

Shots

12Total Shots7

2On Target4

5Off Target2

5Blocked1

8Inside Box5

4Outside Box2

Passing

54%Possession46%

442Total Passes395

374Accurate Passes329

85%Pass Accuracy83%

Goalkeeping

1Saves2

1.20Goals Prevented1.20

Discipline

9Fouls8

2Yellow Cards0

2Offsides2

Premier League: Everton 0–3 Tottenham

Tottenham beat Everton 3-0 in Premier League on October 26, 2025.

Goals: M. van de Ven (19', 45'), P. M. Sarr (89').

Everton controlled possession (54%) and registered 12 shots to 7.

The match was played at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool.

Everton vs Tottenham — Premier League 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Premier League: Everton 0–3 Tottenham