Esperança d'Andorra 0–7 Ranger's: Result & Stats

Esperança d'Andorra

FT

0 – 7

HT: 0 – 3

Ranger's

1/25/2025

1a Divisió · Round 14Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 29+ matches

Esperança d'Andorra9%

×Draw18%

Ranger's74%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Esperança d'AndorraExpected goals in this matchRanger's

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.59

2.16

Esperança d'Andorra

0.59

Ranger's

2.16

Ranger's creates 266% more chances

Season form · 40 home / 29 away

0.53

creates per match

1.79

2.52

allows per match

0.66

creates per match

Esperança d'Andorra

0.53

Ranger's

1.79

allows per match

Esperança d'Andorra

2.52

Ranger's

0.66

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Esperança d'Andorra+0.00on par

Ranger's+0.00on par

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

No61
Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Esperança d'Andorra ↓

Ranger's →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–114%

0–215%

0–311%

0–46%

1

1–04%

1–18%

1–29%

1–36%

1–43%

2

2–01%

2–12%

2–23%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–00%

3–10%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–2 (15%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Esperança d'Andorra or draw

26%

Esperança d'Andorra or Ranger's

82%

Draw or Ranger's

91%

Winning margin

Esperança d'Andorra wins by 2+

2%

Ranger's wins by 2+

49%

Team goals

Esperança d'Andorra 1+ goals

45%

Esperança d'Andorra 2+ goals

12%

Esperança d'Andorra 3+ goals

2%

Ranger's 1+ goals

88%

Ranger's 2+ goals

63%

Ranger's 3+ goals

36%

Draw no bet

Esperança d'Andorra (draw refunded)

11%

Ranger's (draw refunded)

89%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Esperança d'Andorra at home — creates 0.53, concedes 2.52 · 40 matches

Ranger's away — creates 1.79, concedes 0.66 · 29 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Esperança d'Andorra attack 0.53 + Ranger's defence 0.66 → ÷2 → 0.59

Ranger's attack 1.79 + Esperança d'Andorra defence 2.52 → ÷2 → 2.16

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 74%?"

Esperança d'Andorra scores more

9%

level

18%

Ranger's scores more

74%

Ranger's at 74% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 74% does not mean "Ranger's will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

1a Divisió: Esperança d'Andorra 0–7 Ranger's

Ranger's beat Esperança d'Andorra 7-0 in 1a Divisió on January 25, 2025.

The match was played at Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF 1 in Santa Coloma.

Esperança d'Andorra vs Ranger's — 1a Divisió 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

1a Divisió: Esperança d'Andorra 0–7 Ranger's