Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons — Premier League 2019

Entebbe UPPC
Entebbe UPPC
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Maroons
Maroons
1/27/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 14Bugonga Football Pitch

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Entebbe UPPC47%
×Draw30%
Maroons22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Entebbe UPPC
1.21
Maroons
0.73

Entebbe UPPC creates 66% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 71 away

creates per match

Entebbe UPPC
1.00
Maroons
0.92

allows per match

Entebbe UPPC
0.53
Maroons
1.42

finishing

Entebbe UPPC+0.00on par
Maroons+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Under
  • Under69
  • Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

64%No
  • No64
  • Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Entebbe UPPC ↓

Maroons →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
58%42%2.5
31%69%3.5
13%87%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Entebbe UPPC or draw
78%
Entebbe UPPC or Maroons
70%
Draw or Maroons
53%

Winning margin

Entebbe UPPC wins by 2+
21%
Maroons wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Entebbe UPPC 1+ goals
70%
Entebbe UPPC 2+ goals
34%
Entebbe UPPC 3+ goals
12%
Maroons 1+ goals
52%
Maroons 2+ goals
17%
Maroons 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Entebbe UPPC (draw refunded)
68%
Maroons (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Entebbe UPPC at home — creates 1.00, concedes 0.53 · 15 matches

Maroons away — creates 0.92, concedes 1.42 · 71 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Entebbe UPPC attack 1.00 + Maroons defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.21

Maroons attack 0.92 + Entebbe UPPC defence 0.53 → ÷2 → 0.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Entebbe UPPC scores more
47%
level
30%
Maroons scores more
22%

Entebbe UPPC at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Entebbe UPPC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Entebbe UPPC 0–0 Maroons

Entebbe UPPC and Maroons drew 0-0 in Premier League on January 27, 2026.

The match was played at Bugonga Football Pitch.