Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Enisey vs Metallurg Lipetsk — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Enisey
Enisey
FT
0 – 0
Metallurg Lipetsk
Metallurg Lipetsk
7/4/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Pole trenirovochnogo kompleksa GUOR Moskovskoy oblasti

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Enisey66%
×Draw22%
Metallurg Lipetsk13%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Enisey
1.84
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.66

Enisey creates 179% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 3 away

creates per match

Enisey
1.69
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00

allows per match

Enisey
1.31
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00

finishing

Enisey+0.00on par
Metallurg Lipetsk+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

59%No
  • No59
  • Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Enisey ↓

Metallurg Lipetsk →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–15%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–110%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–014%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–16%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
45%55%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Enisey or draw
87%
Enisey or Metallurg Lipetsk
78%
Draw or Metallurg Lipetsk
34%

Winning margin

Enisey wins by 2+
39%
Metallurg Lipetsk wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Enisey 1+ goals
84%
Enisey 2+ goals
55%
Enisey 3+ goals
28%
Metallurg Lipetsk 1+ goals
48%
Metallurg Lipetsk 2+ goals
14%
Metallurg Lipetsk 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Enisey (draw refunded)
84%
Metallurg Lipetsk (draw refunded)
16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Enisey at home — creates 1.69, concedes 1.31 · 16 matches

Metallurg Lipetsk away — creates 0.00, concedes 2.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Enisey attack 1.69 + Metallurg Lipetsk defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.84

Metallurg Lipetsk attack 0.00 + Enisey defence 1.31 → ÷2 → 0.66

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Enisey scores more
66%
level
22%
Metallurg Lipetsk scores more
13%

Enisey at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Enisey will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Enisey vs Metallurg Lipetsk

Enisey and Metallurg Lipetsk drew 0-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 4, 2021.

The match was played at Pole trenirovochnogo kompleksa GUOR Moskovskoy oblasti in Bronnitsy.