England U19 0–0 Switzerland U19: Result & Stats

England U19

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Switzerland U19

11/13/2021

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification · Qualifying Round - 6Skytteholms IP

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

England U1945%

×Draw25%

Switzerland U1930%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

England U19Expected goals in this matchSwitzerland U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.52

1.19

England U19

1.52

Switzerland U19

1.19

England U19 creates 28% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 13 away

1.95

creates per match

1.92

0.45

allows per match

1.08

creates per match

England U19

1.95

Switzerland U19

1.92

allows per match

England U19

0.45

Switzerland U19

1.08

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

England U19+0.00on par

Switzerland U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over51
Under49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

England U19 ↓

Switzerland U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

51%49%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

England U19 or draw

70%

England U19 or Switzerland U19

75%

Draw or Switzerland U19

55%

Winning margin

England U19 wins by 2+

22%

Switzerland U19 wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

England U19 1+ goals

78%

England U19 2+ goals

45%

England U19 3+ goals

20%

Switzerland U19 1+ goals

70%

Switzerland U19 2+ goals

33%

Switzerland U19 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

England U19 (draw refunded)

60%

Switzerland U19 (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

42%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

England U19 at home — creates 1.95, concedes 0.45 · 20 matches

Switzerland U19 away — creates 1.92, concedes 1.08 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

England U19 attack 1.95 + Switzerland U19 defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.52

Switzerland U19 attack 1.92 + England U19 defence 0.45 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

England U19 scores more

45%

level

25%

Switzerland U19 scores more

30%

England U19 at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "England U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

62'

M. Reichmuth← S. Schwegler

62'

L. Bollati← S. Ottiger

71'

N. John← L. Chambers

82'

F. De Carvalho Ferreira← C. Chiappetta

87'

N. Muci← T. Mühlethaler

87'

K. Sow← A. Hajdari

England

Switzerland

1

Loretz

4

Amenda

5

▼

Hajdari

20

▼

Ottiger

3

Sawadogo

18

▼

Mühlethal

10

Rupp

6

Willimann

19

▼

Schwegler

9

Fink

11

▼

Chiappett

1

Cox

2

Oyegoke

12

▼

5

6

3

10

4

11

9

8

Manager: I. Foster

71'▲N. John←▼L. Chambers

England U19 substitutes

14John16Webster19Jebbison18Balagizi17Soonsup-Bell20Giraud-Hutchinson13Oluwayemi15Edwards7Iling-Junior

Manager: B. Berner

62'▲M. Reichmuth←▼S. Schwegler

62'▲L. Bollati←▼S. Ottiger

82'▲F. De Carvalho Ferreira←▼C. Chiappetta

87'▲N. Muci←▼T. Mühlethaler

87'▲K. Sow←▼A. Hajdari

Switzerland U19 substitutes

8Reichmuth16Bollati17Ferreira13Muci15Sow2Magnin7Appiah12Nitti14Hasani

Match Recap: England U19 vs Switzerland U19

England U19 and Switzerland U19 drew 0-0 in UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification on November 13, 2021.

The match was played at Skytteholms IP in Solna.

England U19 vs Switzerland U19 — UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification 2022

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: England U19 vs Switzerland U19