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Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Elva 42%Draw 22%36% Maardu
1.81Expected xG1.66

Over / Under 2.5

67%

Over

33%

Under

Both Score

68%

Yes

32%

No

Most Likely Scores

1-1

9%

2-1

8%

1-2

8%

xG Profile (10 home / 7 away matches)

Elva

xG 1.2 · xGA 1.6

+0 vs xG

Maardu

xG 1.71 · xGA 2.43

+0 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Elva vs Maardu — Esiliiga A 2026

Esiliiga AEsiliiga A·2026📍Nike Arena
Elva
Elva
FT
4 – 3
HT: 1 – 3
Maardu
Maardu
R. Neltsas 81', 69'
D. Laaneots 73'
R. Jaagant 22'
E. Kouadio 42'
V. Kutt 14' (OG)
M. Tserezov 11'
Date
Jun 11, 2026, 4:00 PM
Tournament
Esiliiga A · Regular Season - 15
Venue
Nike Arena, Elva

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

Elva

Over / Under 2.5

58%over 2.5
  • Over 2.51158%
  • Under 2.5842%

Both teams scored

47%BTTS
  • Yes947%
  • No1053%

Maardu

Over / Under 2.5

71%over 2.5
  • Over 2.51071%
  • Under 2.5429%

Both teams scored

79%BTTS
  • Yes1179%
  • No321%

Match Events

11'
M. Tserezov↳ A. Volkov
14'
V. KuttOwn goal
22'
R. Jaagant↳ G. Lani
42'
E. Kouadio
69'
R. Neltsas↳ J. Mbuthia
73'
D. Laaneots↳ J. Mbuthia
81'
R. Neltsas↳ K. Haabma

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Elva 4 – 3 Maardu

Elva beat Maardu 4-3 in Esiliiga A on June 11, 2026.

Goals: M. Tserezov (11'), V. Kutt (14' o.g.), R. Jaagant (22'), E. Kouadio (42'), R. Neltsas (69', 81'), D. Laaneots (73').

The match was played at Nike Arena in Elva.