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Eleven Wonders vs Young Apostles — Premier League 2019

Eleven Wonders
Eleven Wonders
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Young Apostles
Young Apostles
10/5/2025Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 4University Of Ghana Sports Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 34+ matches

Eleven Wonders49%
×Draw30%
Young Apostles21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Eleven Wonders
1.23
Young Apostles
0.71

Eleven Wonders creates 73% more chances

Season form · 58 home / 34 away

creates per match

Eleven Wonders
1.05
Young Apostles
0.38

allows per match

Eleven Wonders
1.03
Young Apostles
1.41

finishing

Eleven Wonders+0.00on par
Young Apostles+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Under
  • Under69
  • Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

64%No
  • No64
  • Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eleven Wonders ↓

Young Apostles →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–018%
1–113%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
58%42%2.5
31%69%3.5
13%87%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Eleven Wonders or draw
79%
Eleven Wonders or Young Apostles
70%
Draw or Young Apostles
51%

Winning margin

Eleven Wonders wins by 2+
22%
Young Apostles wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Eleven Wonders 1+ goals
71%
Eleven Wonders 2+ goals
35%
Eleven Wonders 3+ goals
13%
Young Apostles 1+ goals
51%
Young Apostles 2+ goals
16%
Young Apostles 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Eleven Wonders (draw refunded)
69%
Young Apostles (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
23%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eleven Wonders at home — creates 1.05, concedes 1.03 · 58 matches

Young Apostles away — creates 0.38, concedes 1.41 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eleven Wonders attack 1.05 + Young Apostles defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.23

Young Apostles attack 0.38 + Eleven Wonders defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 0.71

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Eleven Wonders scores more
49%
level
30%
Young Apostles scores more
21%

Eleven Wonders at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Eleven Wonders will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Eleven Wonders vs Young Apostles

Young Apostles beat Eleven Wonders 1-0 in Premier League on October 5, 2025.

The match was played at University Of Ghana Sports Stadium in Accra.