Eleven Wonders 0–2 Nations: Result & Stats

Eleven Wonders

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

Nations

E. Annor 90'

J. Effah 5'

2/27/2026

Premier League · Round 24Swedru Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 49+ matches

Eleven Wonders40%

×Draw33%

Nations27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Eleven WondersExpected goals in this matchNations

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.02

0.78

Eleven Wonders

1.02

Nations

0.78

Eleven Wonders creates 31% more chances

Season form · 58 home / 49 away

1.05

creates per match

0.53

1.03

allows per match

0.98

creates per match

Eleven Wonders

1.05

Nations

0.53

allows per match

Eleven Wonders

1.03

Nations

0.98

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Eleven Wonders+0.00on par

Nations+0.00on par

Total goals

Under73
Over27

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No65
Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eleven Wonders ↓

Nations →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–017%

0–113%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–17%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

83%17%1.5

54%46%2.5

27%73%3.5

11%89%4.5

4%96%

Double chance

Eleven Wonders or draw

73%

Eleven Wonders or Nations

67%

Draw or Nations

60%

Winning margin

Eleven Wonders wins by 2+

16%

Nations wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Eleven Wonders 1+ goals

64%

Eleven Wonders 2+ goals

27%

Eleven Wonders 3+ goals

8%

Nations 1+ goals

54%

Nations 2+ goals

18%

Nations 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Eleven Wonders (draw refunded)

60%

Nations (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

21%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eleven Wonders at home — creates 1.05, concedes 1.03 · 58 matches

Nations away — creates 0.53, concedes 0.98 · 49 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eleven Wonders attack 1.05 + Nations defence 0.98 → ÷2 → 1.02

Nations attack 0.53 + Eleven Wonders defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 0.78

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Eleven Wonders scores more

40%

level

33%

Nations scores more

27%

Eleven Wonders at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Eleven Wonders will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

5'

J. Effah

46'

59'

E. Boateng← F. Nkrumah

64'

S. Suhuyini

65'

K. Ampoful← S. Suhuyini

67'

74'

F. Akorlor← D. Achampong

74'

M. Amponsah← D. Tetteh

78'

M. Akolgo← A. Sarpong

78'

A. Ayikwei← A. Mashud

90+1'

O. Ofori← I. Ahmed

90+4'

R. Danso← E. Annor

90'

E. Annor

Eleven

Nations

16

Sanon

30

Simpson

8

▼

13

14

15

20

▼

Mashud

33

⚽

▼

Annor

40

▼

Sarpong

80

⚽

Effah

88

Mac-Willi

13

Adjei

30

▼

Ahmed

2

Ameyaw

6

Milla

27

▼

Achampong

50

▼

Tetteh

12

Asamoah

15

Ewulla

32

▼

Nkrumah

4

Issah

33

Musah

59'▲E. Boateng←▼F. Nkrumah

74'▲F. Akorlor←▼D. Achampong

74'▲M. Amponsah←▼D. Tetteh

90+1'▲O. Ofori←▼I. Ahmed

Eleven Wonders substitutes

22Ampaabeng17Akorlor26Dwomoh31Jebril37Ofori66Husseini10Boateng19Frimpong23Amponsah

Manager: Mingle Ocansey

65'▲K. Ampoful←▼S. Suhuyini

78'▲M. Akolgo←▼A. Sarpong

78'▲A. Ayikwei←▼A. Mashud

90+4'▲R. Danso←▼E. Annor

Nations substitutes

99Bariu5Boahen7Yahaya9Quarshie10Danso27Akolgo35Ayikwei43Asare69Ampoful