Eleven Wonders vs Hohoe United

Eleven Wonders

AWD

3 – 0

Hohoe United

4/3/2026

Premier League · Round 28Swedru Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Eleven Wonders43%

×Draw31%

Hohoe United26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Eleven WondersExpected goals in this matchHohoe United

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.10

0.79

Eleven Wonders

1.10

Hohoe United

0.79

Eleven Wonders creates 39% more chances

Season form · 58 home / 13 away

1.05

creates per match

0.54

1.03

allows per match

1.15

creates per match

Eleven Wonders

1.05

Hohoe United

0.54

allows per match

Eleven Wonders

1.03

Hohoe United

1.15

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Eleven Wonders+0.00on par

Hohoe United+0.00on par

Total goals

Under71
Over29

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No64
Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eleven Wonders ↓

Hohoe United →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–015%

0–112%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–17%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

85%15%1.5

56%44%2.5

29%71%3.5

12%88%4.5

4%96%

Double chance

Eleven Wonders or draw

74%

Eleven Wonders or Hohoe United

69%

Draw or Hohoe United

57%

Winning margin

Eleven Wonders wins by 2+

18%

Hohoe United wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Eleven Wonders 1+ goals

67%

Eleven Wonders 2+ goals

30%

Eleven Wonders 3+ goals

10%

Hohoe United 1+ goals

55%

Hohoe United 2+ goals

19%

Hohoe United 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Eleven Wonders (draw refunded)

62%

Hohoe United (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

23%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eleven Wonders at home — creates 1.05, concedes 1.03 · 58 matches

Hohoe United away — creates 0.54, concedes 1.15 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eleven Wonders attack 1.05 + Hohoe United defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.10

Hohoe United attack 0.54 + Eleven Wonders defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 0.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Eleven Wonders scores more

43%

level

31%

Hohoe United scores more

26%

Eleven Wonders at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Eleven Wonders will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff