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Eleven Wonders vs Basake Holy Stars — Premier League 2019

Eleven Wonders
Eleven Wonders
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Basake Holy Stars
Basake Holy Stars
1/9/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 18University of Ghana Sports Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 33+ matches

Eleven Wonders53%
×Draw27%
Basake Holy Stars20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Eleven Wonders
1.41
Basake Holy Stars
0.74

Eleven Wonders creates 91% more chances

Season form · 58 home / 33 away

creates per match

Eleven Wonders
1.05
Basake Holy Stars
0.45

allows per match

Eleven Wonders
1.03
Basake Holy Stars
1.76

finishing

Eleven Wonders+0.00on par
Basake Holy Stars+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Under
  • Under64
  • Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eleven Wonders ↓

Basake Holy Stars →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–19%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
63%37%2.5
36%64%3.5
17%83%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Eleven Wonders or draw
80%
Eleven Wonders or Basake Holy Stars
73%
Draw or Basake Holy Stars
47%

Winning margin

Eleven Wonders wins by 2+
26%
Basake Holy Stars wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Eleven Wonders 1+ goals
76%
Eleven Wonders 2+ goals
41%
Eleven Wonders 3+ goals
17%
Basake Holy Stars 1+ goals
52%
Basake Holy Stars 2+ goals
17%
Basake Holy Stars 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Eleven Wonders (draw refunded)
73%
Basake Holy Stars (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eleven Wonders at home — creates 1.05, concedes 1.03 · 58 matches

Basake Holy Stars away — creates 0.45, concedes 1.76 · 33 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eleven Wonders attack 1.05 + Basake Holy Stars defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 1.41

Basake Holy Stars attack 0.45 + Eleven Wonders defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 0.74

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Eleven Wonders scores more
53%
level
27%
Basake Holy Stars scores more
20%

Eleven Wonders at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Eleven Wonders will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Eleven Wonders vs Basake Holy Stars

Eleven Wonders beat Basake Holy Stars 2-0 in Premier League on January 9, 2026.

The match was played at University of Ghana Sports Stadium in Accra.