Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Eleven Wise vs Sefwi All Stars — Division One League 2025

Eleven Wise
Eleven Wise
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Sefwi All Stars
Sefwi All Stars
1/2/2026Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 14

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Eleven Wise55%
×Draw29%
Sefwi All Stars17%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Eleven Wise
1.33
Sefwi All Stars
0.60

Eleven Wise creates 122% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

Eleven Wise
1.13
Sefwi All Stars
0.40

allows per match

Eleven Wise
0.80
Sefwi All Stars
1.53

finishing

Eleven Wise+0.00on par
Sefwi All Stars+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Under
  • Under70
  • Over30

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

67%No
  • No67
  • Yes33

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eleven Wise ↓

Sefwi All Stars →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–015%
0–19%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–019%
1–112%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (19%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
57%43%2.5
30%70%3.5
13%87%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Eleven Wise or draw
83%
Eleven Wise or Sefwi All Stars
71%
Draw or Sefwi All Stars
45%

Winning margin

Eleven Wise wins by 2+
26%
Sefwi All Stars wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Eleven Wise 1+ goals
74%
Eleven Wise 2+ goals
38%
Eleven Wise 3+ goals
15%
Sefwi All Stars 1+ goals
45%
Sefwi All Stars 2+ goals
12%
Sefwi All Stars 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Eleven Wise (draw refunded)
76%
Sefwi All Stars (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
22%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eleven Wise at home — creates 1.13, concedes 0.80 · 15 matches

Sefwi All Stars away — creates 0.40, concedes 1.53 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eleven Wise attack 1.13 + Sefwi All Stars defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.33

Sefwi All Stars attack 0.40 + Eleven Wise defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Eleven Wise scores more
55%
level
29%
Sefwi All Stars scores more
17%

Eleven Wise at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Eleven Wise will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Division One League: Eleven Wise 1–0 Sefwi All Stars

Eleven Wise beat Sefwi All Stars 1-0 in Division One League on January 2, 2026.