Ekranas 0–0 Jonava: Result & Stats | 1 Lyga

Ekranas

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Jonava

6/27/2025

1 Lyga · Round 15Žemynos progimnazijos stadionas

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 68+ matches

Ekranas36%

×Draw25%

Jonava40%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

EkranasExpected goals in this matchJonava

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.41

1.50

Ekranas

1.41

Jonava

1.50

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 68 home / 72 away

1.32

creates per match

1.32

1.68

allows per match

1.49

creates per match

Ekranas

1.32

Jonava

1.32

allows per match

Ekranas

1.68

Jonava

1.49

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Ekranas+0.00on par

Jonava+0.00on par

Total goals

Over56
Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ekranas ↓

Jonava →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–18%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–112%

1–29%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

56%44%3.5

33%67%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Ekranas or draw

60%

Ekranas or Jonava

75%

Draw or Jonava

64%

Winning margin

Ekranas wins by 2+

16%

Jonava wins by 2+

19%

Team goals

Ekranas 1+ goals

76%

Ekranas 2+ goals

41%

Ekranas 3+ goals

17%

Jonava 1+ goals

78%

Jonava 2+ goals

44%

Jonava 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Ekranas (draw refunded)

47%

Jonava (draw refunded)

53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

47%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ekranas at home — creates 1.32, concedes 1.68 · 68 matches

Jonava away — creates 1.32, concedes 1.49 · 72 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ekranas attack 1.32 + Jonava defence 1.49 → ÷2 → 1.41

Jonava attack 1.32 + Ekranas defence 1.68 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Ekranas scores more

36%

level

25%

Jonava scores more

40%

Jonava at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Jonava will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

43'

K. Olsauskas

46'

M. Oliveros← P. A. Coulibaly

46'

M. Ganusauskas← K. Olsauskas

50'

D. Orujov

52'

M. Malatokas

68'

E. Abramavicius

79'

M. Ezerskis← I. Jonaitis

81'

R. Rusnius← A. Kabosius

89'

M. Lesnikauskas

Ekranas

Jonava

1

Sivickas

6

▼

9

12

17

19

▼

21

23

44

67

92

91

4

▼

Jonaitis

5

Orujov

8

Jokubonis

9

▼

14

16

18

19

21

27

Manager: M. Palionis

46'▲M. Oliveros←▼P. A. Coulibaly

79'▲M. Ezerskis←▼I. Jonaitis

Ekranas substitutes

25Janusas6Mulevicius10Oliveros13Ezerskis

Manager: E. Utyra

46'▲M. Ganusauskas←▼K. Olsauskas

81'▲R. Rusnius←▼A. Kabosius

Jonava substitutes

16Matuzas35Jakimavicius2Sungaila5Rackus7Mironcikas8Beniusis70Rusnius96Neverdauskas99Ganusauskas

Match Recap: Ekranas vs Jonava

Ekranas and Jonava drew 0-0 in 1 Lyga on June 27, 2025.

The match was played at Žemynos progimnazijos stadionas in Panevėžys.

Ekranas vs Jonava — 1 Lyga 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Ekranas vs Jonava