Eintracht Trier U19 0–6 Stuttgart U19

Eintracht Trier U19

FT

0 – 6

HT: 0 – 1

Stuttgart U19

12/4/2022

U19 Bundesliga · Süd / Südwest - 11Nebenplatz Moselstadion Rasen

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

Eintracht Trier U1911%

×Draw14%

Stuttgart U1975%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Eintracht Trier U19Expected goals in this matchStuttgart U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.21

3.17

Eintracht Trier U19

1.21

Stuttgart U19

3.17

Stuttgart U19 creates 162% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 71 away

1.08

creates per match

2.75

3.58

allows per match

1.34

creates per match

Eintracht Trier U19

1.08

Stuttgart U19

2.75

allows per match

Eintracht Trier U19

3.58

Stuttgart U19

1.34

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Eintracht Trier U19+0.00on par

Stuttgart U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over80
Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes67
No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Trier U19 ↓

Stuttgart U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–14%

0–27%

0–37%

0–46%

1

1–02%

1–15%

1–28%

1–38%

1–47%

2

2–01%

2–13%

2–25%

2–35%

2–44%

3

3–00%

3–11%

3–22%

3–32%

3–42%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (8%) · grid covers 81% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

93%7%2.5

80%20%3.5

62%38%4.5

42%58%

Double chance

Eintracht Trier U19 or draw

25%

Eintracht Trier U19 or Stuttgart U19

86%

Draw or Stuttgart U19

89%

Winning margin

Eintracht Trier U19 wins by 2+

4%

Stuttgart U19 wins by 2+

56%

Team goals

Eintracht Trier U19 1+ goals

70%

Eintracht Trier U19 2+ goals

34%

Eintracht Trier U19 3+ goals

12%

Stuttgart U19 1+ goals

96%

Stuttgart U19 2+ goals

82%

Stuttgart U19 3+ goals

60%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Trier U19 (draw refunded)

13%

Stuttgart U19 (draw refunded)

87%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

62%

Both score & under 3

5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Trier U19 at home — creates 1.08, concedes 3.58 · 12 matches

Stuttgart U19 away — creates 2.75, concedes 1.34 · 71 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Trier U19 attack 1.08 + Stuttgart U19 defence 1.34 → ÷2 → 1.21

Stuttgart U19 attack 2.75 + Eintracht Trier U19 defence 3.58 → ÷2 → 3.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 75%?"

Eintracht Trier U19 scores more

11%

level

14%

Stuttgart U19 scores more

75%

Stuttgart U19 at 75% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 75% does not mean "Stuttgart U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Eintracht Trier U19 vs Stuttgart U19

Stuttgart U19 beat Eintracht Trier U19 6-0 in U19 Bundesliga on December 4, 2022.

The match was played at Nebenplatz Moselstadion Rasen in Trier.

Eintracht Trier U19 vs Stuttgart U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: Eintracht Trier U19 vs Stuttgart U19