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Eintracht Norderstedt vs Tus Dassendorf — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Eintracht Norderstedt
Eintracht Norderstedt
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Tus Dassendorf
Tus Dassendorf
1/16/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Kunstrasenplatz Garstedt 3

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Eintracht Norderstedt86%
×Draw9%
Tus Dassendorf5%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Eintracht Norderstedt
3.83
Tus Dassendorf
0.93

Eintracht Norderstedt creates 312% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 4 away

creates per match

Eintracht Norderstedt
3.67
Tus Dassendorf
0.75

allows per match

Eintracht Norderstedt
1.11
Tus Dassendorf
4.00

finishing

Eintracht Norderstedt+0.00on par
Tus Dassendorf+0.00on par

Total goals

84%Over
  • Over84
  • Under16

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Norderstedt ↓

Tus Dassendorf →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–11%
0–20%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–04%
1–13%
1–22%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–07%
2–16%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–08%
4–18%
4–24%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 3–0 (9%) · grid covers 73% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
95%5%2.5
84%16%3.5
67%33%4.5
47%53%

Double chance

Eintracht Norderstedt or draw
95%
Eintracht Norderstedt or Tus Dassendorf
91%
Draw or Tus Dassendorf
14%

Winning margin

Eintracht Norderstedt wins by 2+
71%
Tus Dassendorf wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Eintracht Norderstedt 1+ goals
98%
Eintracht Norderstedt 2+ goals
88%
Eintracht Norderstedt 3+ goals
71%
Tus Dassendorf 1+ goals
61%
Tus Dassendorf 2+ goals
24%
Tus Dassendorf 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Norderstedt (draw refunded)
94%
Tus Dassendorf (draw refunded)
6%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
3%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Norderstedt at home — creates 3.67, concedes 1.11 · 9 matches

Tus Dassendorf away — creates 0.75, concedes 4.00 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Norderstedt attack 3.67 + Tus Dassendorf defence 4.00 → ÷2 → 3.83

Tus Dassendorf attack 0.75 + Eintracht Norderstedt defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 0.93

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 86%?"

Eintracht Norderstedt scores more
86%
level
9%
Tus Dassendorf scores more
5%

Eintracht Norderstedt at 86% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 86% does not mean "Eintracht Norderstedt will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Eintracht Norderstedt 2–1 Tus Dassendorf

Eintracht Norderstedt beat Tus Dassendorf 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 16, 2024.

The match was played at Kunstrasenplatz Garstedt 3 in Norderstedt.