Eintracht Frankfurt W 2–0 Werder Bremen W

Eintracht Frankfurt W

FT

2 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Werder Bremen W

N. Anyomi 40'

R. Blomqvist 33'

10/19/2025

League #82 · Round 7Stadion am Brentanobad

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Eintracht Frankfurt W55%

×Draw25%

Werder Bremen W20%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Eintracht Frankfurt WExpected goals in this matchWerder Bremen W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.63

0.88

Eintracht Frankfurt W

1.63

Werder Bremen W

0.88

Eintracht Frankfurt W creates 85% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 4 away

2.00

creates per match

1.00

0.75

allows per match

1.25

creates per match

Eintracht Frankfurt W

2.00

Werder Bremen W

1.00

allows per match

Eintracht Frankfurt W

0.75

Werder Bremen W

1.25

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Eintracht Frankfurt W+0.00on par

Werder Bremen W+0.00on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Frankfurt W ↓

Werder Bremen W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–112%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–110%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

46%54%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Eintracht Frankfurt W or draw

80%

Eintracht Frankfurt W or Werder Bremen W

75%

Draw or Werder Bremen W

45%

Winning margin

Eintracht Frankfurt W wins by 2+

30%

Werder Bremen W wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Eintracht Frankfurt W 1+ goals

80%

Eintracht Frankfurt W 2+ goals

48%

Eintracht Frankfurt W 3+ goals

22%

Werder Bremen W 1+ goals

59%

Werder Bremen W 2+ goals

22%

Werder Bremen W 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Frankfurt W (draw refunded)

73%

Werder Bremen W (draw refunded)

27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

35%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Frankfurt W at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

Werder Bremen W away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Frankfurt W attack 2.00 + Werder Bremen W defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.63

Werder Bremen W attack 1.00 + Eintracht Frankfurt W defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Eintracht Frankfurt W scores more

55%

level

25%

Werder Bremen W scores more

20%

Eintracht Frankfurt W at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Eintracht Frankfurt W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

5'

29'

33'

40'

46'

A. Arfaoui← V. Wieder

47'

G. Reuteler

63'

M. Desic← E. Papai

63'

S. Beck← L. Hausicke

72'

E. Senss← R. Blomqvist

76'

M. Desic

80'

R. Wichmann← M. Weiss

82'

J. Teulings← E. Memeti

82'

R. Chiba← N. Anyomi

83'

R. Walkling← J. Wirtz

Eintracht

Werder

39

Sherif

15

▼

5

23

2

28

▼

Wirtz

31

▼

Wieder

16

▼

Papai

18

▼

11

7

12

22

13

25

11

14

8

27

A

▼

Memeti

28

⚽

▼

Blomqvist

10

Freigang

19

⚽

▼

Anyomi

Manager: Niko Arnautis

72'▲E. Senss←▼R. Blomqvist

82'▲J. Teulings←▼E. Memeti

82'▲R. Chiba←▼N. Anyomi

Eintracht Frankfurt W substitutes

18Paulick4Ivelj6Senss7Raso9Teulings15Chiba17Wolter20Acikgoz29Acikgoz

Manager: Friederike Kromp

46'▲A. Arfaoui←▼V. Wieder

63'▲M. Desic←▼E. Papai

63'▲S. Beck←▼L. Hausicke

80'▲R. Wichmann←▼M. Weiss

83'▲R. Walkling←▼J. Wirtz

Werder Bremen W substitutes

1Fischer4Ronan6Wichmann8Arfaoui9Desic13Walkling22Dieckmann24Schmidt27Beck

League #82: Eintracht Frankfurt W 2–0 Werder Bremen W

Eintracht Frankfurt W beat Werder Bremen W 2-0 in League #82 on October 19, 2025.

Goals: R. Blomqvist (33'), N. Anyomi (40').

The match was played at Stadion am Brentanobad in Frankfurt.

Eintracht Frankfurt W vs Werder Bremen W — League #82 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

League #82: Eintracht Frankfurt W 2–0 Werder Bremen W