Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Eintracht Frankfurt W vs Slovácko W — UEFA Champions League Women 2019

Eintracht Frankfurt W
Eintracht Frankfurt Wadvanced
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Slovácko W
Slovácko W
9/6/2023UEFA Champions League WomenUEFA Champions League Women · 1st Round - Semi-finalsStadion am Brentanobad

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Eintracht Frankfurt W66%
×Draw20%
Slovácko W14%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Eintracht Frankfurt W
2.13
Slovácko W
0.88

Eintracht Frankfurt W creates 142% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 4 away

creates per match

Eintracht Frankfurt W
2.50
Slovácko W
0.75

allows per match

Eintracht Frankfurt W
1.00
Slovácko W
1.75

finishing

Eintracht Frankfurt W+0.00on par
Slovácko W+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Frankfurt W ↓

Slovácko W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–19%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Eintracht Frankfurt W or draw
86%
Eintracht Frankfurt W or Slovácko W
80%
Draw or Slovácko W
34%

Winning margin

Eintracht Frankfurt W wins by 2+
42%
Slovácko W wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Eintracht Frankfurt W 1+ goals
88%
Eintracht Frankfurt W 2+ goals
63%
Eintracht Frankfurt W 3+ goals
35%
Slovácko W 1+ goals
59%
Slovácko W 2+ goals
22%
Slovácko W 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Frankfurt W (draw refunded)
82%
Slovácko W (draw refunded)
18%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Frankfurt W at home — creates 2.50, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

Slovácko W away — creates 0.75, concedes 1.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Frankfurt W attack 2.50 + Slovácko W defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 2.13

Slovácko W attack 0.75 + Eintracht Frankfurt W defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Eintracht Frankfurt W scores more
66%
level
20%
Slovácko W scores more
14%

Eintracht Frankfurt W at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Eintracht Frankfurt W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Eintracht Frankfurt W vs Slovácko W

Eintracht Frankfurt W beat Slovácko W 1-0 in UEFA Champions League Women on September 6, 2023.

The match was played at Stadion am Brentanobad in Frankfurt am Main.