Eintracht Frankfurt W 6–0 Minsk W: Result & Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt W

FT

6 – 0

HT: 4 – 0

Minsk W

9/7/2024

UEFA Champions League Women · 1st Round - 3rd Place FinalsKópavogsvöllur

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Eintracht Frankfurt W62%

×Draw20%

Minsk W19%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Eintracht Frankfurt WExpected goals in this matchMinsk W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.25

1.15

Eintracht Frankfurt W

2.25

Minsk W

1.15

Eintracht Frankfurt W creates 96% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 7 away

2.50

creates per match

1.29

1.00

allows per match

2.00

creates per match

Eintracht Frankfurt W

2.50

Minsk W

1.29

allows per match

Eintracht Frankfurt W

1.00

Minsk W

2.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Eintracht Frankfurt W+0.00on par

Minsk W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over66
Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes61
No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Frankfurt W ↓

Minsk W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–08%

1–19%

1–25%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–17%

3–24%

3–32%

3–40%

4

4–04%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

85%15%2.5

66%34%3.5

44%56%4.5

25%75%

Double chance

Eintracht Frankfurt W or draw

81%

Eintracht Frankfurt W or Minsk W

80%

Draw or Minsk W

38%

Winning margin

Eintracht Frankfurt W wins by 2+

39%

Minsk W wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Eintracht Frankfurt W 1+ goals

89%

Eintracht Frankfurt W 2+ goals

65%

Eintracht Frankfurt W 3+ goals

39%

Minsk W 1+ goals

68%

Minsk W 2+ goals

32%

Minsk W 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Frankfurt W (draw refunded)

77%

Minsk W (draw refunded)

23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

52%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Frankfurt W at home — creates 2.50, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

Minsk W away — creates 1.29, concedes 2.00 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Frankfurt W attack 2.50 + Minsk W defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.25

Minsk W attack 1.29 + Eintracht Frankfurt W defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Eintracht Frankfurt W scores more

62%

level

20%

Minsk W scores more

19%

Eintracht Frankfurt W at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Eintracht Frankfurt W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Eintracht Frankfurt W vs Minsk W

Eintracht Frankfurt W beat Minsk W 6-0 in UEFA Champions League Women on September 7, 2024.

The match was played at Kópavogsvöllur in Kópavogur.

Eintracht Frankfurt W vs Minsk W — UEFA Champions League Women 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: Eintracht Frankfurt W vs Minsk W