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Eintracht Frankf U19 vs Sandhausen U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Eintracht Frankf U19
Eintracht Frankf U19
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Sandhausen U19
Sandhausen U19
9/30/2023U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · Süd / Südwest - 7Stadion am Riederwald

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Eintracht Frankf U1957%
×Draw20%
Sandhausen U1924%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Eintracht Frankf U19
2.37
Sandhausen U19
1.49

Eintracht Frankf U19 creates 59% more chances

Season form · 70 home / 38 away

creates per match

Eintracht Frankf U19
2.29
Sandhausen U19
1.55

allows per match

Eintracht Frankf U19
1.43
Sandhausen U19
2.45

finishing

Eintracht Frankf U19+0.00on par
Sandhausen U19+0.00on par

Total goals

74%Over
  • Over74
  • Under26

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Frankf U19 ↓

Sandhausen U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
74%26%3.5
53%47%4.5
34%66%

Double chance

Eintracht Frankf U19 or draw
76%
Eintracht Frankf U19 or Sandhausen U19
80%
Draw or Sandhausen U19
43%

Winning margin

Eintracht Frankf U19 wins by 2+
36%
Sandhausen U19 wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Eintracht Frankf U19 1+ goals
91%
Eintracht Frankf U19 2+ goals
68%
Eintracht Frankf U19 3+ goals
42%
Sandhausen U19 1+ goals
77%
Sandhausen U19 2+ goals
44%
Sandhausen U19 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Frankf U19 (draw refunded)
71%
Sandhausen U19 (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
63%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Frankf U19 at home — creates 2.29, concedes 1.43 · 70 matches

Sandhausen U19 away — creates 1.55, concedes 2.45 · 38 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Frankf U19 attack 2.29 + Sandhausen U19 defence 2.45 → ÷2 → 2.37

Sandhausen U19 attack 1.55 + Eintracht Frankf U19 defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.49

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Eintracht Frankf U19 scores more
57%
level
20%
Sandhausen U19 scores more
24%

Eintracht Frankf U19 at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Eintracht Frankf U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Eintracht Frankf U19 vs Sandhausen U19

Sandhausen U19 beat Eintracht Frankf U19 2-0 in U19 Bundesliga on September 30, 2023.

The match was played at Stadion am Riederwald in Frankfurt am Main.