Eintracht Frankf U19 3–1 Hannover 96 U19

Eintracht Frankf U19

FT

3 – 1

HT: 2 – 1

Hannover 96 U19

A. Staff 65', 3'

A. Souza 23'

Rafael Martins Marques 29'

4/5/2025

U19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group A - 9Stadion am Riederwald

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 74+ matches

Eintracht Frankf U1946%

×Draw21%

Hannover 96 U1933%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.6%

Always home

44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Eintracht Frankf U19Expected goals in this matchHannover 96 U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.08

1.74

Eintracht Frankf U19

2.08

Hannover 96 U19

1.74

Eintracht Frankf U19 creates 20% more chances

Season form · 74 home / 74 away

2.34

creates per match

2.07

1.42

allows per match

1.81

creates per match

Eintracht Frankf U19

2.34

Hannover 96 U19

2.07

allows per match

Eintracht Frankf U19

1.42

Hannover 96 U19

1.81

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Eintracht Frankf U19+0.00on par

Hannover 96 U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over73
Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes72
No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Frankf U19 ↓

Hannover 96 U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–14%

0–23%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–05%

1–18%

1–27%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–03%

3–16%

3–25%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–23%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

89%11%2.5

73%27%3.5

53%47%4.5

33%67%

Double chance

Eintracht Frankf U19 or draw

67%

Eintracht Frankf U19 or Hannover 96 U19

79%

Draw or Hannover 96 U19

54%

Winning margin

Eintracht Frankf U19 wins by 2+

26%

Hannover 96 U19 wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Eintracht Frankf U19 1+ goals

87%

Eintracht Frankf U19 2+ goals

61%

Eintracht Frankf U19 3+ goals

34%

Hannover 96 U19 1+ goals

82%

Hannover 96 U19 2+ goals

52%

Hannover 96 U19 3+ goals

25%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Frankf U19 (draw refunded)

58%

Hannover 96 U19 (draw refunded)

42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

64%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Frankf U19 at home — creates 2.34, concedes 1.42 · 74 matches

Hannover 96 U19 away — creates 2.07, concedes 1.81 · 74 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Frankf U19 attack 2.34 + Hannover 96 U19 defence 1.81 → ÷2 → 2.08

Hannover 96 U19 attack 2.07 + Eintracht Frankf U19 defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.74

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Eintracht Frankf U19 scores more

46%

level

21%

Hannover 96 U19 scores more

33%

Eintracht Frankf U19 at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Eintracht Frankf U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

3'

A. Staff

20'

B. Džanović← N. Neuendorff

23'

A. Souza

29'

Rafael Martins Marques

62'

A. Hanke← R. Rühling

62'

L. Ahenkora← T. Hobrecht

62'

M. Tjaden← O. Wegner

65'

A. Staff

66'

A. Loune← Junior Awusi

66'

J. Barry← K. Mandić

76'

J. Meusel← B. Pfundheller

76'

O. Schwarz← A. Vogel

81'

Y. Dinçer← P. Lorenz

87'

A. Masjedizadah← R. Savvidis

Eintracht

Hannover

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

⚽2

Manager: H. Rasche

20'▲B. Džanović←▼N. Neuendorff

66'▲A. Loune←▼Junior Awusi

66'▲J. Barry←▼K. Mandić

87'▲A. Masjedizadah←▼R. Savvidis

Eintracht Frankf U19 substitutes

DžanovićLouneBarryMasjedizadahVadaccaHeld

Manager: D. Lottner

62'▲A. Hanke←▼R. Rühling

62'▲L. Ahenkora←▼T. Hobrecht

62'▲M. Tjaden←▼O. Wegner

76'▲J. Meusel←▼B. Pfundheller

76'▲O. Schwarz←▼A. Vogel

81'▲Y. Dinçer←▼P. Lorenz

Hannover 96 U19 substitutes

HankeAhenkoraTjadenMeuselSchwarzDinçerLange