Scoreo

Eintracht Frankf U19 vs Bochum U19U19 Bundesliga 2019

Eintracht Frankf U19
Eintracht Frankf U19
FT
20
HT: 10
Bochum U19
Bochum U19
A. Alaoui 82'
Derek Osei 12'
3/9/2025U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group A - 6Stadion am Riederwald

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 65+ matches

Eintracht Frankf U1941%
×Draw22%
Bochum U1937%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Eintracht Frankf U19
1.89
Bochum U19
1.80

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 70 home / 65 away

creates per match

Eintracht Frankf U19
2.29
Bochum U19
2.17

allows per match

Eintracht Frankf U19
1.43
Bochum U19
1.48

finishing

Eintracht Frankf U19+0.00on par
Bochum U19+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Frankf U19

Bochum U19
0
1
2
3
4
0
003%
015%
024%
032%
041%
1
105%
119%
128%
135%
142%
2
204%
218%
227%
234%
242%
3
303%
315%
325%
333%
341%
4
401%
412%
422%
431%
441%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
50%50%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Eintracht Frankf U19 or draw
63%
Eintracht Frankf U19 or Bochum U19
78%
Draw or Bochum U19
59%

Winning margin

Eintracht Frankf U19 wins by 2+
22%
Bochum U19 wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Eintracht Frankf U19 1+ goals
85%
Eintracht Frankf U19 2+ goals
56%
Eintracht Frankf U19 3+ goals
29%
Bochum U19 1+ goals
83%
Bochum U19 2+ goals
54%
Bochum U19 3+ goals
27%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Frankf U19 (draw refunded)
52%
Bochum U19 (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Frankf U19 at homecreates 2.29, concedes 1.43 · 70 matches

Bochum U19 awaycreates 2.17, concedes 1.48 · 65 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Frankf U19 attack 2.29 + Bochum U19 defence 1.48 → ÷2 → 1.89

Bochum U19 attack 2.17 + Eintracht Frankf U19 defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.80

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Eintracht Frankf U19 scores more
41%
level
22%
Bochum U19 scores more
37%

Eintracht Frankf U19 at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Eintracht Frankf U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Eintracht
Bochum
H. Rasche
Manager: H. Rasche
73'A. AyadiN. Neuendorff
81'R. SavvidisA. Souza
90'J. GeikeA. Alaoui
90'L. HotiB. Džanović

Eintracht Frankf U19 substitutes

D. Siebers
Manager: D. Siebers
46'L. PickO. Ofori
65'C. GünesC. Lenz
73'P. AgyemangL. Jashari
79'T. AnubodemS. Weber

U19 Bundesliga: Eintracht Frankf U19 2–0 Bochum U19

Eintracht Frankf U19 beat Bochum U19 2-0 in U19 Bundesliga on March 9, 2025.

Goals: Derek Osei (12'), A. Alaoui (82').

The match was played at Stadion am Riederwald in Frankfurt am Main.