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Eintracht Braunsch U19 vs Hansa Rostock U19 — DFB Junioren Pokal 2020

Eintracht Braunsch U19
Eintracht Braunsch U19advanced
FT
3 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Hansa Rostock U19
Hansa Rostock U19
10/4/2025DFB Junioren PokalDFB Junioren Pokal · Round of 32Stadion NLZ

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Eintracht Braunsch U1961%
×Draw19%
Hansa Rostock U1920%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Eintracht Braunsch U19
2.42
Hansa Rostock U19
1.33

Eintracht Braunsch U19 creates 82% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 6 away

creates per match

Eintracht Braunsch U19
3.00
Hansa Rostock U19
1.67

allows per match

Eintracht Braunsch U19
1.00
Hansa Rostock U19
1.83

finishing

Eintracht Braunsch U19+0.00on par
Hansa Rostock U19+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Braunsch U19 ↓

Hansa Rostock U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–18%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Eintracht Braunsch U19 or draw
80%
Eintracht Braunsch U19 or Hansa Rostock U19
81%
Draw or Hansa Rostock U19
39%

Winning margin

Eintracht Braunsch U19 wins by 2+
39%
Hansa Rostock U19 wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Eintracht Braunsch U19 1+ goals
91%
Eintracht Braunsch U19 2+ goals
69%
Eintracht Braunsch U19 3+ goals
43%
Hansa Rostock U19 1+ goals
74%
Hansa Rostock U19 2+ goals
38%
Hansa Rostock U19 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Braunsch U19 (draw refunded)
75%
Hansa Rostock U19 (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Braunsch U19 at home — creates 3.00, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches

Hansa Rostock U19 away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Braunsch U19 attack 3.00 + Hansa Rostock U19 defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 2.42

Hansa Rostock U19 attack 1.67 + Eintracht Braunsch U19 defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Eintracht Braunsch U19 scores more
61%
level
19%
Hansa Rostock U19 scores more
20%

Eintracht Braunsch U19 at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Eintracht Braunsch U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

DFB Junioren Pokal: Eintracht Braunsch U19 3–0 Hansa Rostock U19

Eintracht Braunsch U19 beat Hansa Rostock U19 3-0 in DFB Junioren Pokal on October 4, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion NLZ in Braunschweig.