Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Einheit Wernigerode vs Germania Halberstadt — Oberliga - Nordost-Süd 2020

Einheit Wernigerode
Einheit Wernigerode
FT
2 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
Germania Halberstadt
Germania Halberstadt
4/2/2026Oberliga - Nordost-SüdOberliga - Nordost-Süd · Nordost-Süd - 23Sportplatz Mannsbergstraße

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Einheit Wernigerode43%
×Draw22%
Germania Halberstadt35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Einheit Wernigerode
1.86
Germania Halberstadt
1.68

Einheit Wernigerode creates 11% more chances

Season form · 77 home / 45 away

creates per match

Einheit Wernigerode
2.12
Germania Halberstadt
1.44

allows per match

Einheit Wernigerode
1.92
Germania Halberstadt
1.60

finishing

Einheit Wernigerode+0.00on par
Germania Halberstadt+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Einheit Wernigerode ↓

Germania Halberstadt →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
68%32%3.5
47%53%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Einheit Wernigerode or draw
65%
Einheit Wernigerode or Germania Halberstadt
78%
Draw or Germania Halberstadt
57%

Winning margin

Einheit Wernigerode wins by 2+
23%
Germania Halberstadt wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Einheit Wernigerode 1+ goals
84%
Einheit Wernigerode 2+ goals
55%
Einheit Wernigerode 3+ goals
28%
Germania Halberstadt 1+ goals
81%
Germania Halberstadt 2+ goals
50%
Germania Halberstadt 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

Einheit Wernigerode (draw refunded)
55%
Germania Halberstadt (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Einheit Wernigerode at home — creates 2.12, concedes 1.92 · 77 matches

Germania Halberstadt away — creates 1.44, concedes 1.60 · 45 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Einheit Wernigerode attack 2.12 + Germania Halberstadt defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.86

Germania Halberstadt attack 1.44 + Einheit Wernigerode defence 1.92 → ÷2 → 1.68

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Einheit Wernigerode scores more
43%
level
22%
Germania Halberstadt scores more
35%

Einheit Wernigerode at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Einheit Wernigerode will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Oberliga - Nordost-Süd: Einheit Wernigerode 2–2 Germania Halberstadt

Einheit Wernigerode and Germania Halberstadt drew 2-2 in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd on April 2, 2026.

The match was played at Sportplatz Mannsbergstraße in Wernigerode.