Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Ebony FC vs King Faisal — Division One League 2025

Ebony FC
Ebony FC
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
King Faisal
King Faisal
12/13/2025Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 11

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Ebony FC43%
×Draw35%
King Faisal22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ebony FC
0.97
King Faisal
0.60

Ebony FC creates 62% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

Ebony FC
0.60
King Faisal
0.80

allows per match

Ebony FC
0.40
King Faisal
1.33

finishing

Ebony FC+0.00on par
King Faisal+0.00on par

Total goals

79%Under
  • Under79
  • Over21

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

72%No
  • No72
  • Yes28

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ebony FC ↓

King Faisal →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–021%
0–112%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–020%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–16%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (21%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
79%21%1.5
47%53%2.5
21%79%3.5
7%93%4.5
2%98%

Double chance

Ebony FC or draw
78%
Ebony FC or King Faisal
65%
Draw or King Faisal
57%

Winning margin

Ebony FC wins by 2+
17%
King Faisal wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Ebony FC 1+ goals
62%
Ebony FC 2+ goals
25%
Ebony FC 3+ goals
7%
King Faisal 1+ goals
45%
King Faisal 2+ goals
12%
King Faisal 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Ebony FC (draw refunded)
66%
King Faisal (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
16%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ebony FC at home — creates 0.60, concedes 0.40 · 15 matches

King Faisal away — creates 0.80, concedes 1.33 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ebony FC attack 0.60 + King Faisal defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 0.97

King Faisal attack 0.80 + Ebony FC defence 0.40 → ÷2 → 0.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Ebony FC scores more
43%
level
35%
King Faisal scores more
22%

Ebony FC at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Ebony FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Division One League: Ebony FC 0–0 King Faisal

Ebony FC and King Faisal drew 0-0 in Division One League on December 13, 2025.