East Bengal II 3–0 NorthEast United: Result & Stats

East Bengal II

FT

3 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

NorthEast United

Figueira 90'

Y. Ezzejjari 70', 65'

2/16/2026

Indian Super League · Round 1Salt Lake Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

East Bengal II62%

×Draw20%

NorthEast United17%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

East Bengal IIExpected goals in this matchNorthEast United

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.10

1.01

East Bengal II

2.10

NorthEast United

1.01

East Bengal II creates 108% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 67 away

2.44

creates per match

1.24

0.78

allows per match

1.76

creates per match

East Bengal II

2.44

NorthEast United

1.24

allows per match

East Bengal II

0.78

NorthEast United

1.76

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

East Bengal II+0.00on par

NorthEast United+0.00on par

Total goals

Over60
Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

East Bengal II ↓

NorthEast United →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–110%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–17%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–04%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

60%40%3.5

37%63%4.5

20%80%

Double chance

East Bengal II or draw

83%

East Bengal II or NorthEast United

80%

Draw or NorthEast United

38%

Winning margin

East Bengal II wins by 2+

39%

NorthEast United wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

East Bengal II 1+ goals

88%

East Bengal II 2+ goals

62%

East Bengal II 3+ goals

35%

NorthEast United 1+ goals

64%

NorthEast United 2+ goals

27%

NorthEast United 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

East Bengal II (draw refunded)

78%

NorthEast United (draw refunded)

22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

46%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

East Bengal II at home — creates 2.44, concedes 0.78 · 9 matches

NorthEast United away — creates 1.24, concedes 1.76 · 67 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

East Bengal II attack 2.44 + NorthEast United defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 2.10

NorthEast United attack 1.24 + East Bengal II defence 0.78 → ÷2 → 1.01

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

East Bengal II scores more

62%

level

20%

NorthEast United scores more

17%

East Bengal II at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "East Bengal II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9

Y. Ezzejjari

East Bengal II · F

8.9

Match Events

35'

Jithin MS

52'

Mohammed Rashid

63'

E. Lalrindika← N. Sekar

64'

T. Singh← J. Madathil

65'

Y. Ezzejjari↳ B. Singh

70'

Y. Ezzejjari

72'

D. Meitei← M. L. Nickson

72'

L. Lalbiaknia← P. Gogoi

74'

V. P V← B. Singh

86'

D. Singh← R. Tlang

86'

L. Vanlalvunga← A. Akhtar

87'

Edmund Lalrindika

90+6'

Míchel Zabaco

90'

D. Lalhlansanga← Y. Ezzejjari

90'

S. Chakrabarti← S. Crespo

90'

M. Raina← Jeakson Singh

90'

Figueira↳ V. P V

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

EastNorthEast

Overview

51%Possession49%

19Total Shots2

2.50Expected Goals (xG)0.16

4Corners2

10Fouls11

Shots

19Total Shots2

8On Target1

9Off Target1

2Blocked0

12Inside Box0

7Outside Box2

Passing

51%Possession49%

408Total Passes394

328Accurate Passes308

80%Pass Accuracy78%

Goalkeeping

1Saves5

Discipline

10Fouls11

2Yellow Cards2

1Offsides4