East Bengal II 0–0 Minerva Punjab: Result & Stats

East Bengal II

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Minerva Punjab

5/11/2026

Indian Super League · Round 10Salt Lake Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

East Bengal II58%

×Draw22%

Minerva Punjab20%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

East Bengal IIExpected goals in this matchMinerva Punjab

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.97

1.06

East Bengal II

1.97

Minerva Punjab

1.06

East Bengal II creates 86% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 30 away

2.44

creates per match

1.33

0.78

allows per match

1.50

creates per match

East Bengal II

2.44

Minerva Punjab

1.33

allows per match

East Bengal II

0.78

Minerva Punjab

1.50

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

East Bengal II+0.00on par

Minerva Punjab+0.00on par

Total goals

Over58
Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

East Bengal II ↓

Minerva Punjab →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–110%

1–25%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–17%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

80%20%2.5

58%42%3.5

36%64%4.5

19%81%

Double chance

East Bengal II or draw

80%

East Bengal II or Minerva Punjab

78%

Draw or Minerva Punjab

42%

Winning margin

East Bengal II wins by 2+

35%

Minerva Punjab wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

East Bengal II 1+ goals

86%

East Bengal II 2+ goals

58%

East Bengal II 3+ goals

31%

Minerva Punjab 1+ goals

65%

Minerva Punjab 2+ goals

29%

Minerva Punjab 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

East Bengal II (draw refunded)

74%

Minerva Punjab (draw refunded)

26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

46%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

East Bengal II at home — creates 2.44, concedes 0.78 · 9 matches

Minerva Punjab away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.50 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

East Bengal II attack 2.44 + Minerva Punjab defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.97

Minerva Punjab attack 1.33 + East Bengal II defence 0.78 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

East Bengal II scores more

58%

level

22%

Minerva Punjab scores more

20%

East Bengal II at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "East Bengal II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

6

K. Sibille

East Bengal II · D

7.6

Match Events

15'

Souvik Chakraborty

22'

Jeakson Singh← S. Chakrabarti

31'

Mohammed Rashid

45+1'

Miguel Figueira

70'

B. Osuji← N. Effiong

79'

A. Sojberg← Y. Ezzejjari

79'

J. Gupta← A. Ali

79'

N. Sekar← V. P V

82'

V. Rai← S. Shami

82'

L. Augustine← M. Kipgen

86'

P. Ranbir← P. Santos

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

EastMinerva

Overview

51%Possession49%

14Total Shots15

2Corners4

7Fouls5

Shots

14Total Shots15

2On Target5

9Off Target6

3Blocked4

4Inside Box8

10Outside Box7

Passing

51%Possession49%

365Total Passes352

283Accurate Passes274

78%Pass Accuracy78%

Goalkeeping

5Saves2

Discipline

7Fouls5

3Yellow Cards0

0Offsides2