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Dynamo de Douala vs Panthère — Elite One 2019

Dynamo de Douala
Dynamo de Douala
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Panthère
Panthère
B. Ngamakoua 40'
6/14/2026Elite OneElite One · Round 24

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 42+ matches

Dynamo de Douala43%
×Draw30%
Panthère27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dynamo de Douala
1.19
Panthère
0.89

Dynamo de Douala creates 34% more chances

Season form · 42 home / 64 away

creates per match

Dynamo de Douala
1.33
Panthère
0.84

allows per match

Dynamo de Douala
0.93
Panthère
1.05

finishing

Dynamo de Douala+0.00on par
Panthère+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Under
  • Under66
  • Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

59%No
  • No59
  • Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dynamo de Douala ↓

Panthère →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–111%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
34%66%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Dynamo de Douala or draw
73%
Dynamo de Douala or Panthère
70%
Draw or Panthère
57%

Winning margin

Dynamo de Douala wins by 2+
19%
Panthère wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Dynamo de Douala 1+ goals
70%
Dynamo de Douala 2+ goals
33%
Dynamo de Douala 3+ goals
12%
Panthère 1+ goals
59%
Panthère 2+ goals
22%
Panthère 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Dynamo de Douala (draw refunded)
61%
Panthère (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dynamo de Douala at home — creates 1.33, concedes 0.93 · 42 matches

Panthère away — creates 0.84, concedes 1.05 · 64 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dynamo de Douala attack 1.33 + Panthère defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 1.19

Panthère attack 0.84 + Dynamo de Douala defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 0.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Dynamo de Douala scores more
43%
level
30%
Panthère scores more
27%

Dynamo de Douala at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Dynamo de Douala will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

40'
B. Ngamakoua

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Dynamo de Douala vs Panthère

Dynamo de Douala beat Panthère 1-0 in Elite One on June 14, 2026.

Goals: B. Ngamakoua (40').