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Dynamo de Douala vs Jeunes Fauves — Elite One 2019

Dynamo de Douala
Dynamo de Douala
FT
6 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Jeunes Fauves
Jeunes Fauves
5/31/2026Elite OneElite One · Round 21

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 42+ matches

Dynamo de Douala52%
×Draw25%
Jeunes Fauves23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dynamo de Douala
1.57
Jeunes Fauves
0.96

Dynamo de Douala creates 64% more chances

Season form · 42 home / 47 away

creates per match

Dynamo de Douala
1.33
Jeunes Fauves
0.98

allows per match

Dynamo de Douala
0.93
Jeunes Fauves
1.81

finishing

Dynamo de Douala+0.00on par
Jeunes Fauves+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dynamo de Douala ↓

Jeunes Fauves →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Dynamo de Douala or draw
77%
Dynamo de Douala or Jeunes Fauves
75%
Draw or Jeunes Fauves
48%

Winning margin

Dynamo de Douala wins by 2+
27%
Jeunes Fauves wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Dynamo de Douala 1+ goals
79%
Dynamo de Douala 2+ goals
46%
Dynamo de Douala 3+ goals
21%
Jeunes Fauves 1+ goals
62%
Jeunes Fauves 2+ goals
25%
Jeunes Fauves 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Dynamo de Douala (draw refunded)
69%
Jeunes Fauves (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dynamo de Douala at home — creates 1.33, concedes 0.93 · 42 matches

Jeunes Fauves away — creates 0.98, concedes 1.81 · 47 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dynamo de Douala attack 1.33 + Jeunes Fauves defence 1.81 → ÷2 → 1.57

Jeunes Fauves attack 0.98 + Dynamo de Douala defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Dynamo de Douala scores more
52%
level
25%
Jeunes Fauves scores more
23%

Dynamo de Douala at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Dynamo de Douala will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Dynamo de Douala vs Jeunes Fauves

Dynamo de Douala beat Jeunes Fauves 6-0 in Elite One on May 31, 2026.