Dunkerque 0–0 Sochaux: Result & Stats | Ligue 2

Dunkerque

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Sochaux

1/22/2022

Ligue 2 · Round 22Stade Marcel-Tribut

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 92+ matches

Dunkerque36%

×Draw29%

Sochaux35%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DunkerqueExpected goals in this matchSochaux

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.10

1.07

Dunkerque

1.10

Sochaux

1.07

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 92 home / 95 away

1.13

creates per match

1.03

1.11

allows per match

1.08

creates per match

Dunkerque

1.13

Sochaux

1.03

allows per match

Dunkerque

1.11

Sochaux

1.08

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Dunkerque+0.00on par

Sochaux+0.00on par

Total goals

Under63
Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dunkerque ↓

Sochaux →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–112%

0–27%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–17%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–21%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

64%36%2.5

37%63%3.5

17%83%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Dunkerque or draw

65%

Dunkerque or Sochaux

71%

Draw or Sochaux

64%

Winning margin

Dunkerque wins by 2+

15%

Sochaux wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Dunkerque 1+ goals

67%

Dunkerque 2+ goals

30%

Dunkerque 3+ goals

10%

Sochaux 1+ goals

66%

Sochaux 2+ goals

29%

Sochaux 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Dunkerque (draw refunded)

51%

Sochaux (draw refunded)

49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

30%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dunkerque at home — creates 1.13, concedes 1.11 · 92 matches

Sochaux away — creates 1.03, concedes 1.08 · 95 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dunkerque attack 1.13 + Sochaux defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.10

Sochaux attack 1.03 + Dunkerque defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.07

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 36%?"

Dunkerque scores more

36%

level

29%

Sochaux scores more

35%

Dunkerque at 36% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 36% does not mean "Dunkerque will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

J. Vachoux

Dunkerque · G

7.7

Match Events

18'

37'

46'

53'

66'

72'

R. Ndiaye← O. Thioune

73'

Emeric Dudouit

73'

A. Virginius← M. Do Couto

76'

L. Pierre← N. Bruneel

77'

Leverton Pierre

78'

Marco Ludivin Majouga

85'

S. Faraj← A. Kalulu

88'

K. Rocheteau← M. Ouadah

88'

D. Boudaud← M. Majouga

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

DunkerqueSochaux

Overview

36%Possession64%

4Total Shots14

2Corners3

20Fouls15

Shots

4Total Shots14

0On Target3

2Off Target9

2Blocked2

2Inside Box9

2Outside Box5

Passing

36%Possession64%

312Total Passes568

191Accurate Passes455

61%Pass Accuracy80%

Goalkeeping

3Saves0

Discipline

20Fouls15

5Yellow Cards1

1Offsides1

Ligue 2: Dunkerque 0–0 Sochaux

Dunkerque and Sochaux drew 0-0 in Ligue 2 on January 22, 2022.

Sochaux controlled possession (64%) and registered 14 shots to 4.

The match was played at Stade Marcel-Tribut in Dunkerque.

Dunkerque vs Sochaux — Ligue 2 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Ligue 2: Dunkerque 0–0 Sochaux