Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Dundela vs Bangor — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Dundela
Dundela
Preview
14:00
Bangor
Bangor
7/25/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
Big match
46%
Bangor
model favours
33%21%46%

Bangor have won 3 in a row

brightest fact of this match

1–2
likely score
76%
over 2.5 goals
74%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Dundela33%
×Draw21%
Bangor46%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dundela
1.82
Bangor
2.17

Bangor creates 19% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 10 away

creates per match

Dundela
1.44
Bangor
2.00

allows per match

Dundela
2.33
Bangor
2.20

finishing

Dundela+0.00on par
Bangor+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

74%Yes
  • Yes74
  • No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dundela ↓

Bangor →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–24%
0–33%
0–42%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–28%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (8%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
56%44%4.5
36%64%

Double chance

Dundela or draw
54%
Dundela or Bangor
79%
Draw or Bangor
67%

Winning margin

Dundela wins by 2+
17%
Bangor wins by 2+
27%

Team goals

Dundela 1+ goals
84%
Dundela 2+ goals
54%
Dundela 3+ goals
27%
Bangor 1+ goals
89%
Bangor 2+ goals
64%
Bangor 3+ goals
36%

Draw no bet

Dundela (draw refunded)
42%
Bangor (draw refunded)
58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
67%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dundela at home — creates 1.44, concedes 2.33 · 9 matches

Bangor away — creates 2.00, concedes 2.20 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dundela attack 1.44 + Bangor defence 2.20 → ÷2 → 1.82

Bangor attack 2.00 + Dundela defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 2.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Dundela scores more
33%
level
21%
Bangor scores more
46%

Bangor at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Bangor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Bangor score first in only 29% of matches
  • 71% of Bangor’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Bangor have won 6 of the last 8 meetings
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings
  • Their last 8 meetings averaged 3.6 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Dundela
LDLDD
Bangor
WWWLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Dundela face Bangor (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Dundela hosting Bangor. Match starts July 25, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.