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Dunajska Streda vs Cliftonville FC — UEFA Europa Conference League 2026

Dunajska Streda
Dunajska Streda
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Cliftonville FC
Cliftonville FC
N. Krstović 65'
R. Szánthó 25'
Ronan Hale 28'
7/7/2022UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying RoundMOL Aréna

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Dunajska Streda51%
×Draw25%
Cliftonville FC24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dunajska Streda
1.57
Cliftonville FC
1.00

Dunajska Streda creates 57% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 3 away

creates per match

Dunajska Streda
1.14
Cliftonville FC
1.00

allows per match

Dunajska Streda
1.00
Cliftonville FC
2.00

finishing

Dunajska Streda+0.00on par
Cliftonville FC+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dunajska Streda ↓

Cliftonville FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
47%53%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Dunajska Streda or draw
76%
Dunajska Streda or Cliftonville FC
75%
Draw or Cliftonville FC
49%

Winning margin

Dunajska Streda wins by 2+
26%
Cliftonville FC wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Dunajska Streda 1+ goals
79%
Dunajska Streda 2+ goals
46%
Dunajska Streda 3+ goals
21%
Cliftonville FC 1+ goals
63%
Cliftonville FC 2+ goals
26%
Cliftonville FC 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Dunajska Streda (draw refunded)
68%
Cliftonville FC (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dunajska Streda at home — creates 1.14, concedes 1.00 · 7 matches

Cliftonville FC away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dunajska Streda attack 1.14 + Cliftonville FC defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.57

Cliftonville FC attack 1.00 + Dunajska Streda defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Dunajska Streda scores more
51%
level
25%
Cliftonville FC scores more
24%

Dunajska Streda at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Dunajska Streda will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

25'
R. Szánthó
28'
Ronan Hale
61'
J. Hahn← R. Szánthó
62'
N. Balogh← Y. Andzouana
65'
N. Krstović
71'
B. Moumou← D. Veselovský
71'
Rory Hale← S. Mallon
72'
C. Curran← K. Lowe
78'
Ronan Chapman Hale
82'
Dominik Kružliak
86'
J. Gormley← R. Curran
87'
A. Cigaņiks← N. Krstović

Statistics

DunajskaCliftonville
Overview
9Corners2
Discipline
1Yellow Cards2

Match Recap: Dunajska Streda vs Cliftonville FC

Dunajska Streda beat Cliftonville FC 2-1 in UEFA Europa Conference League on July 7, 2022.

Goals: R. Szánthó (25'), Ronan Hale (28'), N. Krstović (65').

The match was played at MOL Aréna in Dunajská Streda.