Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Dulwich Hill vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles — New South Wales NPL 2 2026

Dulwich Hill
Dulwich Hill
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
A. Orlando 64'
D. Fornito 23'
A. Sweedan 87'
3/29/2025New South Wales NPL 2New South Wales NPL 2 · Round 8Arlington Oval

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 57+ matches

Dulwich Hill41%
×Draw23%
Bonnyrigg White Eagles36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dulwich Hill
1.67
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
1.56

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 57 home / 62 away

creates per match

Dulwich Hill
1.35
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
1.31

allows per match

Dulwich Hill
1.82
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
1.98

finishing

Dulwich Hill+0.00on par
Bonnyrigg White Eagles+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dulwich Hill ↓

Bonnyrigg White Eagles →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
63%37%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Dulwich Hill or draw
64%
Dulwich Hill or Bonnyrigg White Eagles
77%
Draw or Bonnyrigg White Eagles
59%

Winning margin

Dulwich Hill wins by 2+
21%
Bonnyrigg White Eagles wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Dulwich Hill 1+ goals
81%
Dulwich Hill 2+ goals
50%
Dulwich Hill 3+ goals
23%
Bonnyrigg White Eagles 1+ goals
79%
Bonnyrigg White Eagles 2+ goals
46%
Bonnyrigg White Eagles 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Dulwich Hill (draw refunded)
53%
Bonnyrigg White Eagles (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dulwich Hill at home — creates 1.35, concedes 1.82 · 57 matches

Bonnyrigg White Eagles away — creates 1.31, concedes 1.98 · 62 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dulwich Hill attack 1.35 + Bonnyrigg White Eagles defence 1.98 → ÷2 → 1.67

Bonnyrigg White Eagles attack 1.31 + Dulwich Hill defence 1.82 → ÷2 → 1.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Dulwich Hill scores more
41%
level
23%
Bonnyrigg White Eagles scores more
36%

Dulwich Hill at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Dulwich Hill will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

23'
D. Fornito
64'
A. Orlando
87'
A. Sweedan

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Dulwich Hill 2 – 1 Bonnyrigg White Eagles

Dulwich Hill beat Bonnyrigg White Eagles 2-1 in New South Wales NPL 2 on March 29, 2025.

Goals: D. Fornito (23'), A. Orlando (64'), A. Sweedan (87').

The match was played at Arlington Oval in Dulwich Hill.