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Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Liptovský Mikuláš — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Dukla Banská Bystrica
Dukla Banská Bystrica
FT
0 – 3
HT: 0 – 3
Liptovský Mikuláš
Liptovský Mikuláš
Unknown 43', 34', 13'
7/20/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Štadión ŠKF Kremnička

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Dukla Banská Bystrica50%
×Draw22%
Liptovský Mikuláš28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.44

Dukla Banská Bystrica creates 39% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 16 away

creates per match

Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.86
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.75

allows per match

Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.14
Liptovský Mikuláš
2.13

finishing

Dukla Banská Bystrica+0.00on par
Liptovský Mikuláš+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dukla Banská Bystrica ↓

Liptovský Mikuláš →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

Dukla Banská Bystrica or draw
72%
Dukla Banská Bystrica or Liptovský Mikuláš
78%
Draw or Liptovský Mikuláš
50%

Winning margin

Dukla Banská Bystrica wins by 2+
29%
Liptovský Mikuláš wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Dukla Banská Bystrica 1+ goals
86%
Dukla Banská Bystrica 2+ goals
59%
Dukla Banská Bystrica 3+ goals
32%
Liptovský Mikuláš 1+ goals
76%
Liptovský Mikuláš 2+ goals
42%
Liptovský Mikuláš 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Dukla Banská Bystrica (draw refunded)
64%
Liptovský Mikuláš (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dukla Banská Bystrica at home — creates 1.86, concedes 1.14 · 14 matches

Liptovský Mikuláš away — creates 1.75, concedes 2.13 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dukla Banská Bystrica attack 1.86 + Liptovský Mikuláš defence 2.13 → ÷2 → 2.00

Liptovský Mikuláš attack 1.75 + Dukla Banská Bystrica defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.44

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Dukla Banská Bystrica scores more
50%
level
22%
Liptovský Mikuláš scores more
28%

Dukla Banská Bystrica at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Dukla Banská Bystrica will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

13'
34'
43'
Dukla
Liptovský
M. Auxt
Manager: M. Auxt
I. Lišivka
Manager: I. Lišivka

Friendlies Clubs: Dukla Banská Bystrica 0–3 Liptovský Mikuláš

Liptovský Mikuláš beat Dukla Banská Bystrica 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 20, 2024.

Goals: ? (13', 34', 43').

The match was played at Štadión ŠKF Kremnička in Banská Bystrica.