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Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Gyori ETO FC — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Dukla Banská Bystrica
Dukla Banská Bystrica
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Gyori ETO FC
Gyori ETO FC
1/20/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3MOL Aréna

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Dukla Banská Bystrica41%
×Draw26%
Gyori ETO FC33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.43
Gyori ETO FC
1.27

Dukla Banská Bystrica creates 13% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 5 away

creates per match

Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.86
Gyori ETO FC
1.40

allows per match

Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.14
Gyori ETO FC
1.00

finishing

Dukla Banská Bystrica+0.00on par
Gyori ETO FC+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dukla Banská Bystrica ↓

Gyori ETO FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Dukla Banská Bystrica or draw
67%
Dukla Banská Bystrica or Gyori ETO FC
74%
Draw or Gyori ETO FC
59%

Winning margin

Dukla Banská Bystrica wins by 2+
19%
Gyori ETO FC wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Dukla Banská Bystrica 1+ goals
76%
Dukla Banská Bystrica 2+ goals
42%
Dukla Banská Bystrica 3+ goals
17%
Gyori ETO FC 1+ goals
72%
Gyori ETO FC 2+ goals
36%
Gyori ETO FC 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Dukla Banská Bystrica (draw refunded)
55%
Gyori ETO FC (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dukla Banská Bystrica at home — creates 1.86, concedes 1.14 · 14 matches

Gyori ETO FC away — creates 1.40, concedes 1.00 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dukla Banská Bystrica attack 1.86 + Gyori ETO FC defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.43

Gyori ETO FC attack 1.40 + Dukla Banská Bystrica defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Dukla Banská Bystrica scores more
41%
level
26%
Gyori ETO FC scores more
33%

Dukla Banská Bystrica at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Dukla Banská Bystrica will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Dukla Banská Bystrica 1–1 Gyori ETO FC

Dukla Banská Bystrica and Gyori ETO FC drew 1-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 20, 2024.

The match was played at MOL Aréna in Dunajská Streda.